Saturday's Runline Betting Value is Dodgers Over Giants

Steven Suarez

Saturday, July 26, 2014 3:04 PM GMT

Will Clayton Kershaw put on another master-class showing on the mound tonight? He'll be in San Francisco and a win would push the Dodgers into first place in the division. Let's see what MLB odds say.

Odds Overview
Clayton Kershaw's complete dominance has had a huge effect on the MLB betting lines throughout the season. Despite being on the road, the Dodgers are favored in the -190 to -200 range for tonight's game.

The total is currently trading at a miniscule six runs. Follow the live odds for yourself at sportsbookreview.com/odds.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers (Kershaw)
The Dodgers easily won yesterday's series opener, with Zack Greinke picking up the win and Yasiel Puig going for off for three triples and a double. Greinke improved to 12-6 with the victory.

The gap in the division, as a result of LA's win, now stands at just a half-game, meaning the Dodgers have a chance to over-take the top spot tonight. With Kershaw on the mound, you have to like their chances of doing so.

We're running out of superlatives for Kershaw. On the season he's 11-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.84 WHIP and he hasn't picked up a losing decision since late May.

It really hasn't mattered much where Kershaw's been pitching or who he's been pitching against. He's been special all the same, as evident by his road numbers. Kershaw is 6-1 with a 2.19 ERA in eight starts away from home.

In terms of hitting, the Dodgers are batting .263 as a team over the last seven days. Though Carl Crawford (.100), A.J. Ellis (.167) and Andre Ethier (.214) have struggled, Puig is heating up and Dee Gordon (.423), Adrian Gonzalez (.391) and Matt Kemp (.364) have all been doing well as well.

 

San Francisco Giants (Vogelsong)
With last night's setback, the Giants have now dropped two in a row, though they're still 6-4 over their previous 10 games overall.

A lot of San Francisco's success has actually come away from home, where they've gone 29-20. At AT&T Park, they've only two games above .500 ahead of this showdown with the most dominant pitcher in baseball.

Simply put, Ryan Vogelsong will have to be at his best for the Giants to have any chance whatsoever.

Thus far Vogelsong is 5-7 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. He was roughed up badly in his most recent start, allowing 11 hits and four runs (three earned) in a 7-4 win over Philadelphia. It broke a streak of five straight starts in which Vogelsong had allowed three or fewer runs.

Switching over to the plate, we see the Giants are hitting .264 over the past week (Pablo Sandoval and Hunter Pence have stood out most), while they've been good for a .253 average against lefties.

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MLB Betting Prediction
When it comes down to it, we see no other choice but to keep riding with Kershaw. He's been equally as dominant away from home and it's clear he's in a very special zone right now.

We don't really trust Vogelsong. As we saw last week, he's still prone to have complete letdowns and we think Puig and the Dodgers will be out for blood, especially after knocking around Tim Lincecum to pull within striking distance of the summit in the division.

With that said, let's go for value and back LA to win by two or more runs, available at right around even money for now. Will we have a new division leader at the end of the night?

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) at one of SBR's recommended sportsbooks