Saturday's Pitcher Report Highlights Betting Edge for Your MLB Picks

Doug Upstone

Saturday, May 2, 2015 3:21 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 2, 2015 3:21 PM UTC

Today and tonight on the baseball diamond we will look at three ace pitchers from various teams and seek to determine how they might fair against the MLB odds. Will they be worthy choices or not?

This is the answer we will be after for sports picks in the ongoing pursuit to beat the MLB betting odds.

Phillies vs. Marlins: Can Cole Hamels lead the Phillies to another Victory?
Trade rumors about Cole Hamels are a part of his everyday life, but Philadelphia holds the cards and they are trying to ensure they get the most one-sided deal they can which is why he remains in a Phillies uniform. Hamels (1-2, 3.19 ERA) has expressed his frustration and would like to move to a contender with wins hard to come by with this group as the left-hander owns a 2.50 ERA over his last 11 starts dating back to last year, but he's 1-4 (Phils 5-6) since he's been backed by three runs or fewer in 10 of those outings. "I'm living in the moment, and that's kind of all I can do," Hamels told MLB's official website. "In order to be accountable for what I have to do, I can't think in the future or the past. I've got to be here in the present."

At the moment, Philadelphia has not won since Hamels last start and lifetime he is 9-14 with a 3.09 ERA versus Miami. In his 35 starts against the Marlins, if you are making  MLB picks., you should know he is 21-12-2 UNDER.

Sportsbooks like Wagerweb have Hamels and the Phillies as +105 underdogs, which is reasonable because the past two seasons this combination is 11-21 versus losing teams.

Miami starter Dan Haren is only 1-6 (4.64) against the Phillies which includes an earlier loss this season and if they can score a few runs to give Hamels breathing room, the bullpen is strong enough to keep a lead.

Grade – D (For Philadelphia)

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Rays vs. Orioles: Archer is Hitting the Bull’s-eye for Tampa Bay
Do not blame Chris Archer (3-2, 0.84) for having a couple losses for the Rays. One of the setbacks was 1-0 to Boston on April 21st. Since being beaten by Baltimore 6-2 on opening day, Archer has not yielded on earned run (one unearned) in 26 2/3 innings over four starts, while striking out 32 and walking five. Even his manager is gushing. "I don't think we could ask for a better month out of a starting pitcher. He's been as good as I've ever seen," manager Kevin Cash said.

Archer will be the road pitcher at home against the Orioles this evening who have given him troubles. The 26-year old righty is 0-2 with a 7.65 ERA in his last four starts against the O’s. Nonetheless, he has to be encouraged that last night’s Tampa Bay starter Alex Colome and the bullpen kept Baltimore from scoring in a 2-0 win.

As a MLB baseball handicapper, you naturally wonder how long a pitcher can keep up such a stretch especially against an opponent that has given him problems. Also, the Rays are only 8-16 after shutting out the opposing team, thus, while Archer might still throw a good game, I’ll say his team goes down.

Grade – D (For Baltimore)


Tigers vs. Royals: Will Price be right in Kansas City?
?In a battle of big boys in the American League, Kansas City has completely throttled the Detroit offense, holding them to a single run in each contest. If this were to continue again tonight then David Price (2-1, 3.48) will have to come up large for the Tigers.

Oddly, other than Tampa Bay whom he played for, the Royals are the team he’s faced the fewest times, with only three starts (1-0, 1.29 ERA), with the last coming in 2012. The left-hander will have to face baseball’s best offense in Kansas City, who is averaging 5.3 runs a game. The Royals are 9-2 at home and 8-3 versus lefties this season and if Price throws anything less than a gem, Ned Yost’s bullpen has a, ready for this, sick 0.25 home ERA.

Detroit is a -125 favorite and Price is 38-18 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over his career. (Team's Record) Still, the Royals are rolling and are 8-2 as underdogs this year and Detroit is 0-7 away revenging two straight losses where team scored two or less runs the last three seasons.

Grade – C (For Kansas City)

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