Saturday's Over/Under MLB Picks from a Capper with Extraordinary Winning Record

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, August 1, 2015 3:53 PM UTC

Saturday, Aug. 1, 2015 3:53 PM UTC

Our resident MLB handicapping professional has gone an outstanding 7-1 the last four days, and 11-3-2 during the past eight days with his totals selection. Check today's MLB picks inside.

Mariners (Montgomery) vs. Twins (Gibson) 7:10 PM ET
Mike Montgomery has been in bad form over his previous four starts, posting a large 7.08 ERA and 1.87 WHIP. During those four starts he also allowed an alarming 6 home runs in just 20 1/3 innings pitched. Seattle has gone 6-1-1 over the total in their previous eight, and they’ve also allowed a lofty average of 6.1 runs per game during the last seven.

Kyle Gibson has been terrible in his last two starts, evidenced by his gigantic 10.46 ERA during those outings. Gibson has gone 16-2 over the total during his eighteen starts since 2013 after game 81 of the season, and when facing an American League club that possesses a team batting average of .260 or less. Tonight’s opponent (Seattle) for Gibson certainly qualifies with a team batting average of .240 in 2015. Minnesota has gone 6-1 over the total in their previous seven games, and they had a superb .482 slugging percentage during that time frame.

I like this game to play on the high side of the totals ledger for one of my MLB picks today. Heritage clearly provides us with the least amount of juice in that regard.

MLB Pick: Play on the Mariners and Twins Over 8.5 (-115) at Heritage.


Diamondbacks (Hellickson) vs. Astros (Keuchel) 7:10 PM ET
Jeremy Hellickson has displayed very good form over his previous four starts, posting a stellar 1.88 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and compiled a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Arizona is allowing only an average of 2.1 runs per game in their last seven, and held opponents to a paltry team batting average of .208 during that time. The Diamondbacks bullpen has performed very well in their away games, posting a staff ERA of 2.95.

Dallas Keuchel didn’t yield an earned run over his previous three home starts which has encompassed 24.0 innings pitched. During those outings, he struck out 32 while walking just 1. Keuchel being dominant at home is nothing new. The Astros southpaw has gone 10-0 in his last 14 home starts dating back to 2014, and posted a brilliant 1.33 ERA. The Houston bullpen has been terrific all season, and especially so at home. They possess an excellent bullpen ERA of 2.22, a WHIP of 0.90, and have a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio at Minute Maid Park. Houston is allowing an average of only 3.0 runs per game over their last seven contests.

MLB Pick: Play the Diamondbacks and Astros Under 7.5 (-113) at 5Dimes.

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