Saturday's MLB Picks Feature Trio of Money Lines for Maximum Profit

Doug Upstone

Saturday, April 18, 2015 1:45 PM GMT

Swept the board here yesterday with our MLB picks here at Sportsbook Review and I will attempt to duplicate the feat today with three completely different teams against betting odds.

I will be the first to admit, two of them will take some courage, but as a MLB baseball handicapper, often you dig around for opportunity in order to create winning tickets. Let’s do this!

 

Underdog Orioles Ready to Take Flight
This afternoon on FS-1, we have a divisional battle between Baltimore and Boston. The Red Sox took the series opener last night 3-2 to extend their lead in the AL East. In this late afternoon affair Clay Buchholz (1-1, 7.84 ERA will oppose Chris Tillman (1-1, 7.71) and both starting pitchers are off dreadful outings. Buchholz was drilled for 10 runs (nine earned) on nine hits and two walks over 3 1/3 innings, while Tillman was charged with seven runs on seven hits and three walks in 2 2/3 innings.

I am going to back Baltimore at +130 MLB betting odds and here is why. Tillman owns a 7-3 record and 2.69 ERA in 16 career starts against the Red Sox. His mound counterpart Buchholz is not respected by baseball insiders because his confidence seems to rise and fall like the New England spring temperatures when he cannot throw his curveball for strikes, since he does not seem to trust his other pitches.

Buchholz has had recent issues pitching at Fenway Park, where he was 3-7 with a 6.64 ERA last season. In 2014 the BoSox right-hander and his team was 0-7 against opposing AL teams with a .260 or lower batting average. Tillman and O’s have relished the role of underdog and are 14-4 (+12.0 Units) when priced at +100 to +150 the last two seasons. With this sports pick, the Birds will soar to victory.

MLB Pick – Baltimore +130

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Smokin’ Hot Mets Keep Winning
The beautiful part about baseball in April is quite literally, anything can happen. Miami and New York were thought to be improved squads in 2015. As it turns out, both teams are off to stunning starts, with completely opposite records. Miami is 3-8 (-6.6 units) and their situation is easy to understand, they are not hitting (3.6 runs a game) and their pitching stinks (4.8 RPG allowed).

The Mets on the other hand are 8-3 (+5.5) and has enjoyed domineering pitching in conceding only 2.8 RPG and the offense has done enough at 4.1 RPG to pull within a game of their longest winning streak since taking eight in a row in June 2010.

New York will start the reigning NL Rookie of the Year Jacob deGrom (1-1, 1.46) and his catcher likes his talent and moxie. "He’s a special, special pitcher," catcher Travis d’Arnaud told MLB’s official website. "He’s got great stuff, and most of all he’s got heart."

The right-hander has shown he can fluster Miami hitters and is 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA, with 34 strikeouts in 27 innings over four starts. (Mets 3-1 record)

Mat Latos gets the start for the floundering Fish having lost both previous outings, but at least his ERA is likely to come down sitting at 17.36. Sportsbooks have New York at -145, book it as your MLB Pick.

MLB Pick – N.Y. Mets -145 at Bet365

 

Do the Giants Finally Win at Home?
Realistically, nobody thought San Francisco was a real World Series contender to start the season without Pablo Sandoval and Hunter Pence (who will return from injury). Matt Cain was supposed to return from surgery but is still on the DL. Monday was supposed to be a day of celebration for Giants fans, with their championship team playing their first home game and homestand featuring two teams that were thought to be the dregs of the NL West, Colorado and Arizona.

Yet here it is Saturday and San Francisco is 0 for 5 at AT&T Park and Giants fans are numb. In all, the Giants are on eight-game losing streak and have scored 15 total runs while batting a lamentable .189 as team.

So how in the world is Bruce Boche’s team a -140 favorite with a rookie starting pitcher named Chris Heston (1-1, 0.69)? As you can see Heston’s has thrown well and his mound opponent is Arizona’s Rubby De La Rosa, who despite a 2-0 record has a 7.15 ERA and in three appearances against the Giants has a 8.18 ERA. In addition, I dug up this -Favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the Giants, after scoring one or less runs in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up two or fewer earned runs in his last two outings are 72-22 the past four seasons. Keep your fingers crossed.

MLB Pick – San Francisco -140 at Bovada