Saturday MLB Picks: Three Lucrative Plays for Today's Betting Action

Darin Zank

Saturday, April 11, 2015 12:41 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 11, 2015 12:41 PM UTC

“They” say early-season baseball betting can be tough, and from our recent experience that adage is proving true. But we soldier on, because that's what we do, with three free MLB picks for Saturday.

Rays vs. Marlins (Archer vs. Cosart)
Miami blew a big lead but took the opener of this series Friday night 10-9 in ten innings. So both teams are 1-3 on the young season.

The Marlins had scored three runs through their first three games, then put up a six-spot in the fourth inning Friday night.

Archer will be making his second start of this season, after giving up three ER and six hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-2 loss to Baltimore Monday. Archer didn't exactly help himself, committing a throwing error on the first play of the game, leading to an unearned Orioles run. He got to the fifth inning without further damage, but then gave up a two-run homer, sealing his fate for the day.

Archer started once last year against Miami and gave up just one run and five hits through seven innings, with eight strikeouts, although he got no help from his mates in a 1-0 loss.

Cosart will be making his first start of the season, after posting a 2.39 ERA in 10 starts for the Marlins last year. Also last season, pitching for Houston, Cosart started twice against Tampa, allowing just three runs on 15 hits through 15 innings. His Astros won both those games.

These teams exploded for 19 runs last night; we doubt that will happen today. In fact, we don't think they'll even get to seven runs.

MLB Pick: Take the UNDER 7 at BetOnline

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Cubs vs. Rockies (Hammel vs. Kendrick)
Colorado took the opener of this series Friday 5-1 to remain undefeated on this young season.

Chicago, on the other hand, has scored three runs total during its 1-2 start.

Hammel will be making his first start of this season, after going 10-11 for the Cubs and A's last year. He actually went 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA for Chicago last season, then got traded to Oakland. He's now back with the Cubbies, for whom, let's face it, he had the best half-season of his career last year.

This will be Hammel's first-ever start against the Rockies, which might give him an advantage, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.

Kendrick will be making his second start of this season for his new team, after throwing seven shutout innings at Milwaukee Monday. Colorado's bats gave him a comfort zone to pitch in Monday, scoring four runs in the top of the first, leading 10-0 after the top of the fourth, and he took advantage, walking none while whiffing six.

Kendrick last started against the Cubs two years ago, when he was with the Phillies. Those two starts didn't go too well, as he gave up nine ER through 12 innings, but that was two years ago, so we don't put a whole lot of meaning into those performances.

Kendrick had a shaky 2014 pitching in a lost cause for Philly, but perhaps the change in scenery will do him some good. And a healthy Rockies lineup is dangerous.

MLB Pick: Take Colorado at the -106 offered at Pinnacle Sports

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Royals vs. Angels (Guthrie vs. Weaver)
Kansas City opened this ALDS rematch series with a 4-2 victory Friday night, also remaining undefeated.

LA has now scored a total of 10 runs through its first four games this season.

Guthrie will be making his first start of this season, after going 13-11 with a 4.13 ERA last season. Guthrie started once against the Angels last year, allowing three ER and nine hits through 6 2/3 innings of a 5-4 Royals victory in June.

Weaver will be making his second start of this season, after giving up four runs and eight hits in six innings of a 4-1 loss at Seattle Monday. Weaver also only struck out one Mariner, which re-ignited the talk about his lack of velocity, and his home/road splits.

Weaver started once against KC last year, the opener of that ALDS series, giving up just two runs and three hits through seven innings of a game LA eventually lost 3-2.

Weaver has been great over the years at Angel Stadium, but he's been more effective during the day than at night. Meanwhile, the Royals are hot, and we never have a problem backing a hot team as an underdog so Add Royals to your  Saturday MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Take KC, at the +125 offered at Bovada

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