Samardzija & Wheeler to Keep Mets vs. A's Under Betting Total

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, August 20, 2014 1:41 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 20, 2014 1:41 PM UTC

Can the A’s get back to their winning ways today? Can red-hot Blake Wheeler pick up the slack for a team that’s struggling to score runs? Find out what the best betting strategy this handicapper recommends is. 

A Matinee by the Bay
The A’s will host the Mets this afternoon in Oakland with the first pitch slated for 3:35 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the A’s are a -190 money line home favorite and the posted total is 7.0. The A’s entered this series having lost 5 in a row for the first time this season. The Mets have gone a respectable 24-19 in day games this season.


Wheeler and a Dealer
The Mets starter Blake Wheeler has been feeling it over his last 9-starts. During that stretch, the right-hander has gone 6-3 against the money with a superb 2.01 ERA. The Mets hurler must be able to overcome the roadblock he’s run into this season when facing American League opponents. He’s seen all 3 of those starts go over the total, while posting a large 8.53 ERA, and 2.29 in those outings.


Change of Scenery Does Wonders
Since coming over in a trade from the Cubs, Jeff Samardzija has gone 6-2 against the money with a solid 3.21 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and nearly a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Saying that the A’s right-hander was happy with the trade would be a vast understatement. After all, this was a pitcher that went 3-14 against the money with the Cubs, and was receiving the worst run support of any starting pitcher in baseball at the time.


Both Teams with Ice Cold Bats
The Mets entered the series opener on Tuesday having gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 overall, and scored 1-run or less in 3 of their last 5-games. They were hitting an anemic .174 as a team over their last 7-games.

The A’s entered this series struggling offensively as well. They had 4-hits or less in 4 of their previous 5-games. They also scored 3-runs or less in each of their last 5, and 7 of the last 8-games.


Final Analysis
We have two starters that are pitching very well heading into this afternoon tilt, and a couple of teams that have struggled to generate offense over the past week. There’s no sense trying to analyze this like its rocket science.


MLB Betting System
Any American League team with a total of 7.0 or less, that’s hitting .265 or less on the season, and has a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less, versus an opponent with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less, has seen 100 of those 154-games (64.9%) go under the total during the past 18-seasons.

Free MLB Pick: Bet Mets/A’s to go under the total of 7.0 at Bodog Sportsbook

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