Runs Won't Come Easy for Astros vs. Rockies as Kendrick-Oberholtzer Duel in Colorado

Charles Stark

Wednesday, June 17, 2015 11:45 AM GMT

Wednesday, Jun. 17, 2015 11:45 AM GMT

With a change of venue I am going to back the under with my MLB picks when the Houston Astros visit the Colorado Rockies. After going for nine runs in their first game of the series and then 13 runs in their second game, I think this game is not going to get as high of a total.

Pinnacle
MLB odds makers have come out with this game at 10 1/2 for the total. At Pinnacle Sports Book you can get the best MLB odds at -105. I know with the game being in Colorado it seems like this game is easy to go over the total but I like the pitching matchup today and I think they will both do a good job in keeping the damage to a minimum.

 

Pitchers
Brett Oberholtzer takes the mound for the Houston Astros and comes in with a 2.25 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. His career numbers are pretty solid with an ERA of 3.71 and WHIP of 1.30. He is coming off the best outing of the year only allowing three hits in eight innings pitched and zero earned runs. In 19 innings pitched so far this year he has not allowed a home run, although that might change in Colorado he is a good enough pitcher to keep the Rockies in check.  Kyle Kendrick takes the mound for the Rockies, he comes in with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP…yikes! Career wise his numbers are much better plus it is always difficult to be a pitcher of the Colorado Rockies. In his last two games he is been really solid only allowing four earned runs in 13 innings. Although I don't expect him to keep the Astros really low in the numbers he should do enough to help keep this game under the total.

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At the Plate
Recently both these teams have been solid at the plate. The Rockies are ranked sixth in the league in runs scored per game at 4.32 in the Astros are right behind them ranked eight at 4.29. These teams both rank across the spectrum in most offensive categories in the major leagues. Although they rank in the top 10 four runs scored the Rockies rank 16th in on base percentage and the Astros 23rd. As well, both these teams rank in the bottom of the league for strikeouts with Colorado ranked 20th and the Houston Astros second to last at 29th.

Don't be scared off because this game is in Colorado. At 10 1/2 this is a really high total for any major league baseball game no matter where the game is being played.  Oberholtzer is good enough to keep the Rockies from having a tremendous day at the plate. Kendrick has not been sharp this year, but the Astros at times have shown they can struggle as well. I don't expect this game to be a low-scoring affair, but I think the game of more like 5-3 will be the final. Back the under with confidence as your MLB pick.

MLB Pick: Under at BetOnline

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