MLB Betting: Runs Coming In Bunches When White Sox Visit The Twins

Saturday, July 30, 2016 2:59 PM UTC

Saturday, Jul. 30, 2016 2:59 PM UTC

Although this game is well beyond a marquee matchup, we can find some betting value today on the total line when the Chicago White Sox visit the Minnesota Twins. Here's our MLB Pick.

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins

MLB odds have this total across the board at 9.5 at most places. There is a little bit higher juice on the under for the most part. I actually like for both of these teams to do some damage at the plate so for my MLB pick I will back over the total. The offenses really should plate quite a few runs today and you can get some good plus money value.


Chicago White Sox
Miguel Gonzalez takes the mound for Chicago with a 4.28 ERA and 1.34 whip but just a 3.67 ERA on the road this season. Gonzalez has not gone without getting knocked around in his last 10 starts especially in June where he allowed seven runs and then two starts later eight runs to Detroit and Toronto respectively. However, in his recent body of work he has pitched better allowing 10 earned runs in his last five starts over a span of over 30 innings, as well as just 24 hits in that timeframe. He has not faced Minnesota since last year and he got crushed for seven earned runs.  Although his ERA does drop on the road Gonzalez is not the type of pitcher to come in and be lights out so I expect the Twins, a better hitting team than their record indicates, to knock him around a bit. At the plate the White Sox rank in the bottom third of the league in most categories but their averages rise against left-handers. They go from hitting .249 overall to .262, and their OPS jumps from .710 to .747 against southpaws.


Minnesota Twins
Tommy Milone gets the start for Minnesota with a 4.97 ERA and 1.49 whip as well as coming off a tough start in Boston allowing 10 hits, four runs, in four innings. He has had the faced some of the best hitting teams in baseball in his last three starts, including Boston, but he actually pitched pretty decent in his other two starts against Texas in Detroit allowing a total of just four earned runs in 13 innings. I believe the line today is in proportion to how he pitched against the White Sox last time in Chicago where he allowed five earned runs off of nine hits in just three innings. Usually you would think this would place the pitcher in a pretty good bounce back spot to perform well but batters are hitting over .300 against Milone in Minnesota and I expect Chicago to do some damage against him today. Offensively Minnesota ranks in around the middle of the league in most categories like 14th in total bases, 15th in hits per game and slugging, and 16th in batting average. They are far from an offensive juggernaut but they can score in bunches at times and I expect for them to score today.

July record: 11-9

Free MLB Pick: Over 9.5 +110
Best Line Offered: at BetCRIS

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