Rubber Game Preview & Free Picks In AL East Series: Yankees vs. Blue Jays

Kevin Stott

Thursday, April 14, 2016 11:23 AM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 14, 2016 11:23 AM UTC

Let’s look at the L11 meetings in this series, some general side and totals trends and then put it all in a Blender and see if we can find a solid MLB pick or two.

Odds Overview
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays [Friday 00:05] (MLB Extra Innings 2, MLB Extra Innings 3, MLB Network (Regional Coverage), Directv (US), 7:07 p.m. EDT/4:07 p.m. PDT): The New York Yankees are scheduled to send right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 9.00 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) to the mound on Thursday night to face righty Marcus Stroman (1-0, 5.40 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) and the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3 of this MLB Opening Week 3-game AL East series at the Rogers Centre in Toronto—formerly known as the SkyDome.

Offshore Oddsmakers have the host Blue Jays currently priced as -135 favorites with the visiting Yankees priced at +125 as the Road underdogs (Bovada) in Ontario with the game’s Total (Runs) set at 8½ Over -115 (Bovada). The Run Line odds see the Blue Jays -1½ priced at +145 and the Yankees +1½ at +140 (Bovada). The First 5 Inning marketplace had yet to open either Offshore or here in Las Vegas at press time.


New York Yankees
Heading into Game 3 of this 3-game series in Toronto on Friday, the Yankees (4-3, 40 RF-33 RA), have looked a little better than expected, although the Bronx Bombers Game 1 Win is ultimately the difference between having a 4-3 or a 3-4 record heading into the Rubber Game of this series after Toronto took Game 2 on Wednesday night, 7-2, breaking a 1-1 tie in the Bottom of the 5th Inning with 2 Runs and then putting the game away with a 4-spot in the Bottom of the 8th.

In New York Manager Joe Girardi’s Starting Lineup on Wednesday: CF Jacoby Ellsbury, LF Aaron Hicks, DH Alex Rodriguez, 1B Mark Teixeira, RF Carlos Beltran, 2B Starlin Castro, 3B Chase Headley, SS Ronald Torreyes, C Austin Romine with Michael Pineda his SP and getting the pill. Veterans Ellsbury and Beltran had 2 Hits apiece while veteran lefty slugger Teixeira homered for the Yankees (25/1 to win World Series, BetVictor) in the series-tying Loss. Hicks is now batting an anemic .091 on the season but the season is young.


Toronto Blue Jays
The defending AL East champion Toronto Blue Jays (4-5, 38 RF-35 RA) and manager John Gibbons lost Game 1 (3-2) but the Blue Jays (13/1 to win World Series, Paddy Power) rebounded in nice fashion on Wednesday to grab the series momentum with the Win, and maybe, more importantly, not fall to 3-6 to start the still very young 2016 MLB Regular Season. In the 7-2 victory, Blue Jays Manager Gibbons put out powerful-looking Starting Lineup (Batting Order) of: CF Kevin Pillar, 3B Josh Donaldson, RF José Bautista, DH Edwin Encarnacion, SS Troy Tulowitzki, LF Michael Saunders, C Russell Martin, 1B Justin Smoak and 2B Ryan Goins with southpaw JA Happ getting the Start (and pitching extremely well) for the Bluebirds. Goins was 3-for-4 with 2 Doubles and 2 RBI while Bautista (25/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) was 2-for-4 and Saunders went 2-for-3 as Toronto pounded out 10 Hits in a game in which the Blue Jays never trailed.


Series Trends, Pitchers Report Card, Umpires, Thoughts and Game Picks in the Rubber Game of This AL East Series
In the L11 meetings in this series, the Blue Jays are 7-4 against the Yankees with the Total seeing the Under go 6-5 after last night’s Over 8 (9 runs). These teams have now alternated Wins and Losses over the L7 meetings and maybe one of the biggest Personal things that stands out here is Stroman’s 7-Inning performance here in Toronto in a 4-0 shutout last season (Sept. 23, 2015) against the Yankees.

With the O/U is just 2-4 the L6, the Under is worth a look from this Numerical pattern of 9, 5, 4, 10, 6 and 5 total runs scored in an AL East series (average 6.5 rpg) with the SH and with all 6 of those games played in Toronto, in the climate-controlled 72° comfort of The Building Formerly Known As The Sky Dome. Some other Good and Bad Trends for the Blue Jays and Stroman: Toronto (12/1 to win AL East, TopBet) is 2-4 in its L6 vs a RHSP; 2-5 L7 vs AL East; 2-5 L7 overall; 2-5 L7 on AstroTurf; 4-0 in Stroman’s L4 Game 3 series Starts; 6-2 L7 Jays Home Starts by Stroman vs. Team with Winning Record; 6-1 in the L7 Stroman Starts vs. AL East; 5-1 in the L6 Stroman Starts vs. a Team With a Winning Record, and, Toronto is 8-2 in the L10 Stroman starts and with this being the Rubber Game of the series, expect a solid start from Stroman against the Bronx Bombers who haven’t done much against him Lifetime.

The Yankees are 21-8 L29 Thursdays (80.8%) and when the 6-2, 225-pound Eovaldi has started New York has been truly dynamite, going 9-0 in his L9 Starts in Game 3s and 7-0 in his L7 Road starts, so stroman vs. Eovaldi is something Trend-wise and a collision of sorts which may mean a Pitching Duel and another reason to like the Under. The Yankees are also 19-7 in Eovaldi’s L26 starts, so the Yankees seem to win when he gets handed the baseball as does Toronto when it’s Stroman’s turn in the Pitching Rotation.

Toronto is an impressive 30-14 its L43 Home games (69.8%) here at Home at the Rogers Centre and winning at Home has become almost expected by the Fans whom are lovin Baseball more by the day. And with Stroman on the Hill and this Batting Lineup with studs like MVP Donaldson (20/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), Encarnacion (+1500 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), Bautista (25/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) and Tulowitzki (30/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), among others.

The Yankees could win here, but the 26-year-old Eovaldi—who looked weak in his debut giving up 5 Runs on 6 Hits—will have to shine and budding Ace Stroman will probably have to struggle. Backing the Bluebirds and that aforementioned Under seem the safest routes.

Umpires: Home Plate—James Hoye, First Base—Chad Fairchild, Second Base—Jim Joyce, Third Base—Marvin Hudson.

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MLB THURSDAY PICKS: Blue Jays -135, Under 8½ -105 (Bovada)
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Blue Jays 4 Yankees 3

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