Royals vs. White Sox: KC's Road Success Cashes Run Line Tickets at 82% Rate

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, July 17, 2015 3:19 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 17, 2015 3:19 PM UTC

The KC Royals and Chicago White Sox meet for the second time today, and this matchup has all the makings of a Run Line Slaughter backed by situations that are 82% and 79%.

KC Royals (C. Young) vs. Chicago White Sox (Danks) 8:10 ET
This is Game 2 of a scheduled double header between the Royals and White Sox, as they begin a 4-game weekend set to start the 2nd half of the season.  The Royals enter the break with a 52-34 record, good for a .605 winning percentage (the best in the AL) and good for a 4 ½ game lead over Minnesota in the AL Central.  The White Sox are mired at the bottom of the AL Central with a 41-45 mark.   When you read the run line numbers at the end of this analysis, you will understand why we are eager to turn this into a classic 2nd half of the season Run Line Dog play!

In today’s article entitled “OPS Index BUY and SELL Ratings at the 2015 All Star Break,” you will note that CWS is clearly a SELL team.  The White Sox have the worst batting numbers in all of baseball with a .649 OPS, which includes a meager 60 HR.  As such, they are destined to fall from their current 41-45 record, as they will shortly plummet to the depths of the AL. Every dog has its day in MLB (26 of 30 teams are playing between .422 and .567 ball). Such is the case with the White Sox, whose 1.59 ERA (the last 12 games) has led to a recent 9-3 surge. No thanks, however, to Danks. For the year, the lefthander is 4-8 with a 5.30 ERA.  That includes his most recent outing against Toronto in which he was blasted for 6 runs on 8 hits in 4 1/3 IP. CWS and Danks are a pure play against in this position.

Despite a couple of weeklong dips, the Royals have played the most consistent and best baseball in the American League.  In a year in which scoring barely exceeds 8 RPG, the KC Royals’ version of small ball fits perfectly.   There have already been runs of 28-14, 14-5 and 7-1 (currently) this season.  It is greatly aided by a bullpen with a 2.11 ERA.  There are solid numbers across the board with top ten OPS rankings in both hitting and pitching.  It’s not a bad thing that C. Young is taking the mound. Young has a very consistent 3.00 ERA for the YTD.  

This contest has all the makings of a Run Line Massacre!  First of all, consider that only 18 of the Royals’ 86 games have been decided by a single run.  Then know that 41 of their 52 wins (that is 79%) have come by 2 or more runs.  Even better is the fact that 18 of their 22 road wins (that’s 82%) have come by 2 or more runs.  With CWS scheduled for an early 2ndhalf demise and Danks, a pure play against starter, we gladly line up with the Royals at this value price as Run Line Underdog.

MLB Pick: Take KC Royals at BetOnline

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