Royals' Home Record Speaks Volume: Pick KC-122 vs. Orioles

Ross Benjamin

Monday, August 24, 2015 1:27 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 24, 2015 1:27 PM UTC

Can Baltimore recover from an embarrassing sweep suffered vs Twins? How will KC Kris Medlen fare in his 1st. start since 2013? Go inside for the answers & a free pick pertaining to this matchup.

Orioles and Royals Convene for Four Game Set
The Orioles and Royals will open a four game series in Kansas City today at 8:10 PM ET. Monday will be the first meeting between these teams since Kansas City swept Baltimore in four games during last season’s ALCS.


Orioles stagger into Kansas City
Baltimore is coming off a humbling four game sweep at the hands of Minnesota. It was certainly a surprising turn of events, considering they entered that four game series against the Twins with a very good 39-22 record at Camden Yards in 2015. Ironically it’s been the Orioles play on the road this season which has plagued them. They’ve gone a poor 23-35 in away games. Baltimore hopes right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez can continue with the momentum he’s established over his previous three starts. Baltimore won all three of those outings and Jimenez compiled a solid 3.50 ERA. Unfortunately, consistency hasn’t been an asset of Jimenez in recent years, and it will certainly be tested tonight against an opponent which has gone 51-27 versus right-handed starters this season.


Medlen Returns
Kris Medlen will make his first major league start tonight since 2013 for Kansas City. The right-hander missed all of last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Medlen has made seven relief appearances in 2015 and was very effective, posting a stellar 2.51 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 14 1/3 innings pitched. He’ll replace a struggling Jeremy Guthrie in the Royals starting pitching rotation. The 29 year old hurler is 35-20 in 61 MLB career starts with a superb 2.94 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. All of those starts came with the Atlanta Braves. He’ll undoubtedly be on a strict pitch count tonight as Kansas City continues to air on the side of caution and justifiably so. Kansas City also has a luxury of possessing one of the best bullpens in baseball. Their relievers have a collective 2.33 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 2015.


Royals Report
Kansas City is coming off a split of a four game series at Fenway Park, and is now 7-2 in their last nine games. The Royals have really prospered at home this season where they’ve gone 42-20 (.677). According to the MLB betting odds at TheGreek, Kansas City is a -122 money line home favorite. The Royals are even better at home when cast into this exact money line parameter, going 31-10 when -100 to -150.


Final Analysis
Despite some recent solid outings, I have little faith in Ubaldo Jimenez. Contrarily, I believe the Royals will be able to piece together solid performances from Medlen and their bullpen this evening. I’m going to use the home team for one of my MLB picks today.

MLB Pick: Play Kansas City -122 at The Greek

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