Rockies On The Run Line Is Tonight's No-Brainer MLB Pick Against Rays

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, July 19, 2016 4:54 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 19, 2016 4:54 PM UTC

The huge OPS batting advantage for Colorado played out in the 7-4 Rockies’ victory against the Rays last night. 

Tampa Bay Rays (Snell) vs. Colorado Rockies (Chatwood)
Colorado has a .790-.725 batting advantage for the season, which balloons to .906 to .764 with the home/road OPS numbers of the teams. Though Tampa Bay is one of our BUY teams based on their 4-24 current run, we simply must look to PLAY AGAINST them in the short term until they are able to string together consecutive victories. That is especially true on the road, where after beginning the season 16-16, Tampa Bay has now lost 11 consecutive road games. With run line numbers clearly in our favor, we look forward to the opportunity of cashing this ticket at an underdog price. 


Tampa Bay has shown promise at times this year. Like in the beginning of June, when they had a 9-2 surge! It made their record commensurate with their OPS numbers. Since that time, however, it has been all doom and gloom. The Rays enter tonight on a 4-24 slide with no hope for the season with a 33-57 record, as one of 4 teams who are playing sub .400 ball. Tonight’s Tampa starter is Blake Snell, who is 1-4 with a 3.69 ERA. Snell comes off an outing on July 7th against LA Angels, in which he allowed just 2 runs in 6 IP. Control, however, has been a major issue for Snell, who has issued 17 free passes in 31 2/3 IP.


There is plenty incentive for Colorado, who has outperformed preseason expectations with their 43-49 record. The Rockies have won 3 of 4 since the All-Star break. With last night’s 7-4 victory, they boosted their home field record to 21-22. They will have plenty of incentive to get to the .500 mark at home when their best starter, Chatwood, takes the mound. His last trip to the mound saw Chatwood allow 4 runs in 5 IP against Philadelphia. That defeat, however, was only his 2nd loss since early May. Chatwood is still 8-5 for the season with a solid 3.29 ERA. Not bad for a pitcher who will make half his starts at mile-high altitude! 


We are eager to make this play on the run line. 21 of 25 recent Tampa Bay losses have been by 2 or more runs. For Colorado, 36 of 43 victories, including 18 of 21 home wins, have been by 2 or more runs. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB picks on the Colorado Rockies tonight.


Free MLB Picks: Colorado -1½ +140
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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