Rockies vs. Mets MLB Picks: Play Run-Line on Decisive Home Win

Ross Benjamin

Monday, August 10, 2015 1:03 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 10, 2015 1:03 PM UTC

We’re going to examine the MLB odds trading for Monday’s National League game between the Rockies and Mets, noting that Colorado's won 3 of their last 4 games & NYM lost two in a row? 

Rockies Invade “The Big Apple”
The Mets and Rockies open a four game series on Monday at Citi Field in New York. The first pitch is slated for 7:10 PM ET. This will be the first meeting of the season between these National League clubs. The Mets are a perfect 6-0 at home versus Colorado since 2013, and all six games stayed under the total. Colorado will go with 23 year old right-hander Jon Gray on the mound today. The Mets counter with veteran southpaw hurler Jonathan Niese.


No Quit in Rockies
Despite being out of realistic playoff contention, the Colorado Rockies continue to fight. They’re 3-1 in their last four games. However, their recent history isn’t very pretty when cast into the exact role. For starters, they’re a terrible 22-33 (.400) on the road in 2015. According to the MLB betting odds at, Colorado is currently a +185 money line underdog. They’ve gone an abysmal 9-53 since 2014 as a money line underdog of +150 or more. Colorado is also a dismal 5-19 when facing a southpaw starting pitcher this season, and had a -2.1 run per game differential in those twenty-four affairs.

Jon Gray will be making his second career MLB start today. The youngster struggled in his 2015 debut against Seattle, allowing 2 earned runs on 5 hits while walking 2 in just 4.0 innings pitched. Gray was 6-6 in twenty starts at AAA Albuquerque this year, posting an unimpressive 4.33 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.


Mets Look to Get Back on Track
The Mets momentum attained from their recent seven game win streak came to a temporary halt in losses on Saturday and Sunday at Tampa Bay. However, they return home on Monday where they’ve gone an excellent 38-18 (.678) this season. According to current MLB betting odds at JustBet, the Mets are a -195 money line home favorite. They’ve gone an extremely profitable 34-7 in 2015 as a money line home favorite of -110 or more. The Mets enter today atop the NL East standings, and are 1.5 games ahead of second place Washington.

Jonathan Niese got off to a rough start in 2015 MLB. However, he’s straightened out the ship in emphatic fashion. Niese has allowed 1 earned run or less in five of his previous seven starts, and has posted a stellar 2.78 ERA during his last twelve outings.


Final Analysis
This has all the earmarks of a decisive win by the Mets. I’m going to keep it simple regarding this game when making one of my MLB picks on Monday. At the time of this writing, Pinnacle had a very favorable run-line price.

MLB Picks: Play the Mets -1.5 (+110) on the run-line at Pinnacle

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