Rockies vs. Diamondbacks MLB Picks: Go 'Under' in Low-Scoring Affair

Darin Zank

Tuesday, April 28, 2015 5:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 28, 2015 5:20 PM UTC

Colorado won the first game of an NL West series at Arizona Monday night, cashing in at a nice underdog price. The Rockies are underdogs again for the second game of this NL West series Tuesday night.

Rockies-Diamondbacks Game 2 Betting Odds
As of Tuesday morning the best line we could find on Arizona with rookie Archie Bradley was the -113 offered at BetOnline, while Colorado and Kyle Kendrick were getting +105 at WagerWeb. And most sportsbooks were listing the total on tonight's game at nine runs.


Tuesday's Game Set-Up
Colorado took Game 1 of this series Monday night 5-4, winning as a +125 road dog on the MLB odds, as the game crept OVER its total of 8.5 runs.

The Rockies took an early 4-0 lead off Arizona starter Chase Anderson, but Arizona chipped away, getting within a run in the bottom of the eighth, then getting the tying run to third base in the bottom of the ninth, before succumbing.

Colorado had lost five games in a row not too long ago, but has now won four of its last five.

Arizona, on the other hand, has lost four in a row, including three straight to Pittsburgh over the weekend.

Big-picture, at 11-8 Colorado sits in second place in the NL West, one game behind first-place Los Angeles, while at 8-11 Arizona sits in fourth place, four games back of the Dodgers.

Last year the Rockies took the season series from the Diamondbacks ten games to nine, with the totals leaning toward the OVERS by a 12-7 margin.


Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up
Bradley, the seventh-overall pick from the 2011 draft, is three-for-three on quality starts in his short ML career. Last time out he held Texas to one run and two hits through six innings, and on the season he's allowed just three runs and seven hits, with 12 strikeouts but 11 walks, through 18 2/3 innings. Arizona is 3-0 in Bradley's starts, with the totals going 2-1.

This will be Bradley's first-ever appearance against Colorado.

Kendrick is one-for-four on quality starts this season, and 0 for his last three. Last time out he gave up four runs through seven innings against San Diego, and on the season he's allowed 18 runs and 39 base-runners (hits + walks) in 23 2/3 innings. Colorado has split his first four starts, and three of his starts have gone OVER.

Pitching for Philadelphia last year Kendrick started once against Arizona, allowing three runs and six hits through 5 2/3 innings of a 9-5 Phillies victory.

In the match-up of the bullpens Colorado relievers own a collective 3.49 ERA, with eight saves in 11 chances, while the Arizona pen owns a 4.18 ERA, while going one-for-three on save opportunities.


Tuesday's Batting Splits
Colorado owns a .333 team OBP and a .464 team slugging percentage against right-handed pitching this season.

Arizona owns a .301 OBP and a .345 slugging percentage against righties.


Injury Update
Colorado relievers LaTroy Hawkins and Adam Ottavino are both on the DL, so for the moment it looks like John Axford will serve as the Rockies closer. Take that for what it might be worth while placing your MLB picks.


Rockies-Diamondbacks Free Pick
Bradley is off to a great start as a Major Leaguer, and should hold an advantage on Colorado hitters at least for the first couple of times through the lineup. But Arizona's bats are cold right now, tallying just six runs over their last four games. So we're thinking tonight's game might evolve into a low-scoring affair.

MLB Pick: UNDER nine runs (-115) at Heritage

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