Rockies vs. Brewers MLB Pick: Play 'Over' Tonight as Capper Expect Bats to Stay Hot

Darin Zank

Tuesday, April 7, 2015 3:55 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 7, 2015 3:55 PM UTC

This MLB season couldn't have started any better for the Rockies, who bombed Milwaukee Monday afternoon 10-0, cashing in as a live underdog. Colorado is an underdog again for tonight's contest.

Rockies-Brewers Betting Odds
Most of the MLB betting odds market opened Milwaukee and Matt Garza at around -160 over Colorado and Jordan Lyles, with a total of 8.5. In the early betting most books then dropped the Brewers to around -130, and the total to eight.


Rockies-Brewers: Background
Colorado took the opener of this series Monday afternoon 10-0, making some hay as a +135 underdog. Nolan Arenado went three-for-four at the plate with a homer and four RBI, and Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzales, who both missed a lot of time with injuries last season, combined to go five-for-nine with three doubles and five runs scored.

On the mound the Rockies got seven shutout innings from starter Kyle Kendrick, in his first start for his new team. The former Phillie held the Brewers to seven singles through seven innings, with zero walks.

Colorado scored four runs in the top of the first Monday, three with two outs. The Rockies added two more in the third and four more in the fourth, and ended up with 16 hits, eight for extra bases.

Brewers starter Kyle Lohse got tagged for eight runs and 10 hits in less than four innings. He also threw two wild pitches.

Milwaukee slugger Ryan Braun, trying to bounce back after a tough 2014 season, beat himself up on the wall early in the game, later left, and is uncertain to play Tuesday night.

Monday's game played OVER its total of nine runs.

Big-picture, Milwaukee led the NL Central for most of last season, but faded badly, finishing at 82-80. This year the Brewers might be hard-pressed to reach that victory total again. Milwaukee went off this season with a wins OVER/UNDER of 78, getting around 10/1 to win the NL Central.

Colorado, meanwhile, is trying to bounce back from an injury-plagued 2014 season in which it lost 96 games. If everybody stays healthy the Rockies could make a run at .500. Colorado began this season with a wins OVER/UNDER of 72, getting upwards of 45/1 to win the NL West.

Start cashing in this season with these top MLB Picks for Tuesday's action

Twirling Tuesday
Garza went 13-for-27 on quality starts last season, going 8-8 with a respectable 3.64 ERA. He gave up fewer hits, 143, than innings pitched, 163, walked 50 and struck out 126. Milwaukee went 13-14 in Garza's starts, with the totals leaning toward the OVERS by a 15-12 margin.

Garza started once against Colorado last year, giving up four runs and nine hits through 6 2/3 innings of a 7-4 Milwaukee victory.

Lyles went nine-for-22 on quality starts last year, finishing 7-4 with a 4.33 ERA. He gave up 127 hits in 127 innings, walked 46 and struck out 90. Colorado went 10-12 in Lyles' starts last season, with the totals leaning toward the OVERS by a 14-8 margin.

Lyles last started against Milwaukee two seasons ago, when as an Astro he held the Brewers to one run through seven innings of a 10-1 Houston victory.


Betting Trends
Last year Milwaukee took six of seven games from Colorado, with the totals going 5-1-1.

Colorado went 43-73 last season against right-handed starters.

Milwaukee went 60-62 against righties.


Free Rockies-Brewers Pick
Colorado started hot Monday, with the bats doing most of the talking. When Tulo and CarGo are both healthy, the Rockies lineup is dangerous. The value on the line on this game probably resides with Colorado, but for our MLB pick we like the bats to stay hot, and carry this game OVER its total.

Free MLB Pick: Rockies-Brewers OVER eight runs at 5Dimes.

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