Thursday’s matchup at Coors Field between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies was designed for the Over to smash the MLB lines.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies
Thursday, May 13, 2021 – 08:40 PM EDT at Coors Field
The Colorado Rockies are everything that’s wrong with Major League Baseball. Since part-owner Dick Montfort took over from his brother Charlie as chairman and CEO in 2011, the Rockies have made the playoffs just twice – in 2017 and 2018. They looked like they were heading for bigger things then. But no; instead of increasing payroll and building around five-time All-Star Nolan Arenado, the Rockies stood pat, then eventually traded him to the St. Louis Cardinals in February for a skimpy package of prospects. Oh, and they paid St. Louis just north of $50 million for the pleasure of getting fleeced.
While Arenado (.843 OPS) and the Cardinals continue to destroy the National League Central, Colorado (12-24, minus-8.31 units) find themselves in
Never Mind the Balls
Firstly, if you’re worried about those new baseballs that are designed to keep the ball in the park, you can let it go now: The over/
Secondly, if you’re looking at the MLB spreads at our top sportsbooks, you’re not going to find much value for Thursday’s contest. Heritage
Chy Chy Gonza-Leez
Thursday’s pitching matchup is key. Chi Chi Gonzalez (4.57 FIP) is due up for the Rockies, and he’s got the Over at 3-1-1 in his five starts thus far; Gonzalez needed Tommy
We probably won’t get as much help from Wade Miley (3.35 FIP). He’s got the totals at 3-3 this year, and he’s coming off Friday’s no-hitter against Cleveland – although maybe that performance will encourage too much action from Under bettors. Miley’s .162 BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) and 83.3 percent of runners stranded are unsustainable, too. Okay, maybe he will help us out.
That’s up to the Rockies. They rank eighth overall in scoring at 5.03 runs per game, thanks in part to Coors Field, which is still a hitter’s park despite the humidors they use to store the baseballs; ESPN’s park factors for 2021 have this stadium ranked No. 11 overall for run creation at 1.169, and seventh in home runs at 1.237. Thursday’s weather report calls for mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s at game time with just 25 percent humidity and very little wind to speak of. Naturally, we’re looking at a big total of 10.5 runs on the MLB odds board at Bovada, but in this particular situation, we’re willing to throw a couple of dollars thereupon.
*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.