Reds vs. Cubs MLB Picks: Back Chicago on Run-Line at +165 Odds

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, April 14, 2015 1:47 PM GMT

The Cubs have gotten off to a fast start and should have another great shot at a win with Jake Arrieta on the mound at Wrigley tonight. Let's examine what kind of MLB odds are on offer.

Odds Overview
The MLB odds are very much in Chicago's favor for tonight, as they're trading in the -145 to -150 range to get the outright victory at home.

If you think Cincinnati's the play, you can get some very appealing odds, as oddsmakers have the Reds quoted at right around +140. For those wanting to make a pick on the total, the O/U is at an even seven runs at most of the top sportsbooks we've checked over.

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Chicago Cubs (Arrieta)
It's certainly an exciting time to be a Cubs fan. Not only have they gotten off to a fast start, they've got arguably the most exciting prospect ready to join them in Kris Bryant, and that's only going to strengthen this team further.

Chicago improved to 4-2 with an extra innings win over Cincinnati in the series opener yesterday. Jon Lester was roughed up badly, yet the Cubs continued to battle and eventually forced the game into extra innings, where they then went on to win in the bottom of the 10th. Jorge Soler had a huge day at the plate, blasting two homers and finishing with four RBI. Chris Coghlan also was productive, hitting a homer to go with a double, and every ounce of that offense was needed to spur the comeback.

The Cubs will be hoping Jake Arrieta will fare a little better than Lester did yesterday, and if his debut is anything to go by, that seems likely. Arrieta was nearly spotless against the Cardinals, allowing just three hits and striking out seven in seven scoreless innings. Against the Reds last season, Arrieta went 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA three meetings.

 

Cincinnati Reds (DeSclafani)
The Reds have to be kicking themselves after letting one get away yesterday. It looked like they would cruise to the win after dropping three runs on Lester in the top of the first, but the Cubs offense immediately responded and tagged Mike Leake in the bottom of the frame. Leake ended up pitching seven innings, surrendering seven hits and four runs while striking out four.

Offensively, Brandon Phillips had his best showing of the young season so far, collecting four hits, while Joey Votto, Marlon Byrd and Jay Bruce all had multi-hit games too. However, the Reds weren't able to step up when it mattered most and thus ended up on the losing side of the equation in the Windy City on Monday.

Now the Reds will turn to Anthony DeSclafani, who had a solid season debut against Pittsburgh five days ago. He allowed five hits and two runs (with six strikeouts and only one walk) over six innings in a no decision. It's not going to be easy to keep this dangerous Cubs offense at bay, so we'll see if he can rise to the occasion.

 

MLB Pick
We feel very good about Chicago's chances of grabbing a fourth straight win, so much so that we're willing to take a bigger risk and back them on the runline tonight.

Arrieta was a stud in his season debut and he will be at home again this evening. If you don't remember, the right hander was incredible at Wrigley all throughout 2014, going 6-1 with a 1.46 ERA in 12 starts, so that's certainly encouraging ahead of this meeting with the Reds. Meanwhile, we'd like to see a little more out of DeSclafani before we feel good about backing him.

So, with our MLB picks, we'll be rolling with the Cubs to secure another win and therefore improve to 5-2 on the year. If you're feeling frisky with us, consider adding them on the run-line.

MLB Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+159) at Pinnacle Sports