Reds & Dodgers To Sneak 'Under' On The West Coast Is The MLB Pick

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, May 25, 2016 4:57 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 25, 2016 4:57 PM UTC

There could be a late night value MLB pick out west worth staying up for Wednesday night, unless a lack of offense between the Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers bores you!


MLB Record: 28-26-1, +5.75

There could be a scarcity of runs late Wednesday night out on the West Coast when right-hander Dan Straily and the Cincinnati Reds (15-31, 3-16 away) pay a visit to southpaw Scott Kazmir and the Los Angeles Dodgers (24-23, 12-12 home) for the final game of a three-game series from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA at 10:10 ET in a game available on FOX Sports - Ohio.

The posted total at Bookmaker is 7½ for this contest with the current MLB odds on the ‘under’ set at -120.


Nine Straight Losses for Cincinnati
The Reds were one game away from owning the worst record in the Major Leagues last season at 64-98 and now they are in the midst of another miserable season, as being the losing MLB picks in the last nine games in a row leaves them at 15-31, currently the third worst record in the majors ahead of only the Atlanta Braves in the National League and the Minnesota Twins of the American League.

The Dodgers have not been nearly as bad as Cincinnati, but they have been disappointing relative to preseason predictions, sitting just one game over .500 at 24-23. Los Angeles was actually one game below .500 before taking the first two games of this series, putting the Dodgers in position to get a sweep tonight. Ace Clayton Kershaw dominated in a 1-0 win in the series opener Monday before the offense came alive in an 8-2 rout last night.


Straily on a Nice Run
Straily was a highly touted prospect when he first came up with the Oakland Athletics in 2012, but he has never lived up to his press clippings. Still, he could be on his way to his best Major League season this year despite a lack of run support leaving him with just a 2-1 record, as he has yet to allow more than three runs in any game while posting a spiffy 2.85 ERA with a good 1.20 WHIP, and he has allowed a total of one run in 11 innings his last two starts.

He now gets the benefit of facing a Dodgers’ offense that is barely in the middle of the pack, ranking 19th in the majors in batting at .242, 13th in runs scored at 4.32 per game and 23rd in OPS at .694. Moreover the Dodgers have been at their worst here at home, batting just .224 while averaging 3.65 runs per game for the season, and remember that the ball carries even worse at Dodger Stadium at night.

On top of all this, Straily is making his first career start against the Dodgers, which is usually to the pitcher’s advantage.


Bad Reds Offense Helps Kazmir
Now Kazmir has had a few nice moments for Los Angeles, but he has also been very erratic and thus stands at 3-3 with a poor 5.23 ERA and a mediocre 1.34 WHIP. The good news though is that Kazmir has allowed three earned runs or less in his last three home starts and he does have 48 strikeouts in 51.2 innings, which should make him troublesome for the strikeout-prone Cincinnati lineup.

In fact that Reds offense has not done much of anything well while ranking 29th or second to last in the majors in batting at .228, 25th in runs scored at 3.87 per game and 26th in OPS at .669. As bad as those numbers are, the Reds have been even worse over the last 10 games batting a mere .208 overall while averaging only 3.29 runs per contest.

The Cincinnati lineup is also mostly unfamiliar with Kazmir, who made one career start vs. the Reds back in 2013 and allowed just one run on eight hits plus one walk in seven innings.



Dodger Stadium Still a Pitcher’s Park
Finally, Dodger Stadium has been a pitcher’s park for years and nothing has changed this season, as the ‘under’ is a fat 16-8 in all games played here with a combined average total score of just 6.50 runs per game! Also the Dodgers may wish that they saved some of the runs they scored last night, as the ‘under’ is 22-8 in their last 30 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.

We see no reason why tonight should be any different with neither offense impressing much this season, so go ‘under’ when the Cincinnati Reds visit the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday. Want more games to cash in on? Take a look at our top 2 profitable selections for tonight!

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2993395, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
MLB Pick: Under 7½ (-120)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

comment here