Reds-Dodgers Slide Over the ‘Total’ on Sunday

Dana Lane

Saturday, May 12, 2018 7:09 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 12, 2018 7:09 PM UTC

The ‘over’ is 14-16 in the Dodgers last 20 games against a right-handed starter.

Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers

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Free MLB Pick: ‘over’ 8Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Scooter delivers 4-for-5 with three singles, a home run and three RBI in Friday night's win.

— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) May 12, 2018

The Los Angeles Dodgers payroll is almost twice that of the Cincinnati Reds but yet it’s the Reds that are flexing their muscles at Chavez Ravine heading into Saturday night, winning the first two games of a four game set by a combined score of 10-3. First pitch Sunday is scheduled for 4:10 ET /1:10 PT and can be seen on Sportsnet LA and Fox Sports-Ohio. The game will also be part of the MLB Network’s regional coverage.

Starting Pitching:

Cincinnati Reds- Luis Castillo (2-4, 6.47 ERA)

Los Angeles Dodgers- Rich Hill (1-1, 7.11 ERA)

A problem with the line-up card has been the only obstacle that the Cincinnati Reds have had difficulty overcoming in this series as they’ve looked like the team that spends $188 million on payroll rather than the team that spends under $100. If the Reds win Saturday they will be carrying a five game win streak into Sunday and you know how much I like to bet streaks.

Since the Reds fired former manager, Bryan Price, they have taken off under new skipper Jim Riggleman who owns a 9-12 record since the move. Not very impressive but they are much better offensively than they were under Price. The Reds have scored 97 runs in their last 18 games (5.38) per game. Considering the league’s most powerful line-up, the New York Yankees, average 5.74 runs per game you can see the Reds have become of reliable over play even though we’re comparing 18 games to 38 games. To become one of the league’s best offenses it has to start with the 3-4 hitter combination. Joey Votto and Scooter Gennett have been a combined 10-18 with 6 runs scored and 7 RBI to go with two walks. Most important the duo doesn’t have a strikeout. Gennett has a five game hitting streak while Votto has a modest three game streak.

The Dodgers haven’t exactly been a reliable source of offense but should get plenty of chances against Castillo whose ERA is hovering around seven. Opponents have enjoyed an average of 10 plus hits/9 to go with an allowance of almost two home runs allowed per game. If the Dodgers drop game three they should be plenty salty in an effort to avoid the sweep.

Dodger starter Rich Hill is trying to get back to being the pitcher that is 11 games over .500 the last two seasons but injuries has limited him to just four starts in 2018. Hill, like Castillo, has given up more hits than innings. The 38-year old gave up 5 runs in four innings against the Diamondbacks, Tuesday, earning a no-decision. At home the left-hander has allowed an average of one home run for every three innings pitched.

It would seem that both of these pitchers would have to have an uncharacteristic outing for this game to stay under the total.

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