Red-Hot Jake Arrieta the Difference Maker: Bet Cubs Over Braves

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, July 19, 2015 12:38 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 19, 2015 12:38 PM UTC

Ross Benjamin has gone 5-1 since returning from the all-star break on Friday. Join us in reading his enlightening betting preview article on Sunday’s game between the Cubs and Braves. This well written piece concludes with his money line pick.

Cubs and Braves in rare Twilight Start on Sunday
The Cubs and Braves culminate their three game set in Atlanta on Sunday. The first pitch is slated for 5:05 PM ET, and this will be the rubber match of this weekend series. The Cubs were a 3-0 winner on Saturday behind the brilliant pitching of Jon Lester. Atlanta took the opening game of the series by overcoming a late 2-1 deficit and winning 4-2.


Starting Pitchers
The Cubs Jake Arrieta has been terrific over his previous five starts. Arrieta posted an excellent 1.13 ERA and 0.63 WHIP during those outings which also including two complete game performances. The Cubs right-handed hurler has been very profitable on the road this season, going 7-2 in his team starts, posting a 2.39 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and compiling a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Shelby Miller will get the start today for the Braves. Although the Braves right-hander is having an outstanding season thus far, he’s shown a bit of vulnerability in his last three starts. During that time he posted a lofty 4.96 ERA, and quite frankly Miller was extremely fortunate that number wasn’t much higher. He allowed 26 hits and walked 6 in only 16 1/3 innings pitched during those three aforementioned starts.


Cubs Prosperous in this Role
The Cubs have gone a very good 29-15 (.659) this season versus National League opponents that possess a team batting average of .255 or less. Atlanta enters today at exactly .255 this season. Chicago is also a respectable 23-21 on the road in 2015.


Anemic Offense for Braves in recent Games
The Atlanta Braves have averaged a paltry 2.9 runs per game, and have hit a horrible .215 as a team during their previous seven contests. That speaks volumes as to why they’ve gone 1-6 during that time frame. Atlanta possesses very little power and it’s been especially evident at home. The Braves have hit just 25 home runs in 42 home games this season. That’s not good news at all considering the starting pitcher they’ll be facing today. The Cubs Jake Arrieta has allowed just 3 home runs in 60 1/3 innings pitched on the road this year.


Final Analysis
Neither one of these teams are exactly tearing the cover off the ball recently. However, I just love the way Jake Arrieta is pitching not only in recent starts, but since 2014 when he was thrust into a major role in the Cubs starting rotation. I’m confident he’ll have his way against a less than imposing Braves batting order. I’m siding with the money line road favorite as one of my MLB picks on Sunday. offers us the cheapest current price in that regards.

MLB Picks: Play the Cubs -145 money line at Bookmaker.

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