Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, October 27, 2020 – 08:08 PM EDT at Globe Life Field
If you’re sold on the even-odd game outcomes through the first five matchups of the 2020 World Series, then bet the house on the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 6. If you’re convinced this is finally the year for the Los Angeles Dodgers and they’ll wrap things up Tuesday, then bet it all on them. It really is that easy.
Of course, it never is that easy, especially in the world of sports betting. Following a season with twists and turns nobody could imagine, the first five games have followed suit with their own zaniness and unimaginable offerings. A rematch on the mound from Game 2, top-rated sportsbooks have the Dodgers priced around -135 on the moneyline behind Tony Gonsolin (2-4, 3.31 ERA). Tampa Bay turns to Blake Snell (6-4, 3.26 ERA) in hopes of forcing a Game 7, and the eight-run total favors the ‘over’ at many shops.
Game 5 Produces First ‘Under’ Winner
Following a wild finish in Game 4 that allowed the Rays to tie the Series, Los Angeles pulled back ahead Sunday night with a 4-2 decision. Clayton Kershaw turned in his second fine performance of the Fall Classic on the mound, and should be available to lend a hand in Game 7, if Tampa Bay can push it to the limit.
Los Angeles scored three runs in the first two innings to build what proved to be an insurmountable lead. Solo home runs by Joc Pederson and Max Muncy provided the Dodgers’ final two runs of the evening to help their backers back to the pay window as -165 chalk on the closing MLB odds.
It was the first ‘under’ winner of the Series as Sunday’s scoreboard target closed on the 8-line at most outlets. Each of the first four games sailed past totals as the clubs combined to score 44 runs.
Walks an Issue for Both Pitchers
Neither pitcher hung around long enough to figure in the Game 2 decision, a 6-4 Tampa Bay triumph that BetOnline closed the Rays +125. Snell almost made it, and was a key part of the Rays’ win as the southpaw used up 88 pitches to get 14 outs, nine of those coming via the K. He only made one mistake, serving up a 2-run homer to Chris Taylor just before exiting in the fifth.
It was Snell’s fifth postseason assignment and he has yet to post a full 6-inning workload. It was also his second consecutive outing in which Snell walked four in an appearance as his free pass rate has increased from 3.2 per nine innings in the regular season to 5.2 in October.
Gonsolin only made it an out into the second inning on 29 pitches before exiting Wednesday’s matchup. He has allowed just six hits in 7.2 postseason innings, but three of those have been homers. Along with the seven walks Gonsolin has issued, it leaves him with a bloated 1.69 WHIP in the playoffs to go with that ugly 9.39 ERA.
Umpire Notes, Roof Report and a Free Pick
Working his third postseason series this month, and 14th playoff series of his career, Jerry Meals will be calling balls and strikes on Tuesday. He just completed his 29th MLB campaign, with his plate assignments running 7-5-2 O/U/P during the regular season after going 20-37-5 O/U/P in 2018-19 combined.
Meals was part of Jeff Nelson’s crew in the ALWC matchup between the Yankees and Indians, but never had the dish. He did work the plate in Game 3 of the ALDS between Houston and Oakland, a 9-7 slugfest between the Astros and A’s that was an easy ‘over’ winner.
Welcome to autumn in Texas where it’s possible to experience all four seasons in 24 hours. Expect the lid to be on at the new Arlington ballpark with temps in the mid-40s and a 50% chance of rain at first pitch. With a 23-15-2 (+10.20 units) record for my MLB picks this goofy season, it would be nice to go out a winner…which we’ll have to wait for Wednesday night do that after Tampa Bay sends the Series the distance with a Game 6 win.