Rays Look To Sting Orioles' Postseason Push Saturday

Tampa Bay Rays teammates greeting each other

Jay Pryce

Saturday, September 17, 2016 4:00 PM UTC

Saturday, Sep. 17, 2016 4:00 PM UTC

Orioles hold one of the wild-card spots and are within striking distance of the AL East crown, as they host Rays in the third of a four-game homestand against the division's bottom-feeders. MLB Pick and betting preview here. 

Tampa Bay Rays (63-84) – Matt Andriese (7-7, 4.46 ERA)
Times are tough in Tampa. The Rays are guaranteed to suffer their third straight losing season since falling 3-1 to the Red Sox in the 2013 American League Divisional Series. Friday night’s 5-4 defeat to the Orioles encapsulates the last few years. Baltimore rallied from a four-run deficit and saved the contest with two outs in the ninth with a stellar relay throw from the outfield to tag Tampa's Mikie Mahtook out at home for the game’s final play.

Pitcher Matt Andriese is tasked with avenging the ugly loss on Saturday, but his luck against Baltimore is just as bad. The right-hander is 0-3 with a 9.24 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) versus the O’s. Baltimore’s current roster is hitting .315 collectively with a .844 team OPS. He’s struck out just 13 batters in 58 plate appearances while allowing 10 RBI.

Andriese's struggles against the O’s in part because of the long ball. He’s gifted two in 12.2 innings but is 2-7 all-time against teams slugging 1.175 home runs per game or more in his career (9-6 vs. those with fewer). Baltimore enters the game with 234 bombs, most in MLB.

The Rays are 5-6 away from Tropicana Field when Andriese takes the hill this season. He and the bullpen allow 4.9 runs on 9.9 hits per game. Tampa is also just 1-8 in its last nine played in Baltimore, the staff allowing 6.7 runs per game.


Baltimore Orioles (81-66) – Chris Tillman (16-5, 3.68 ERA)
The Orioles sit two games out of the first-place Red Sox for the AL East crown, tied with the Blue Jays. Both Toronto and Baltimore own the two AL wild-card spots.

Manager Buck Showalter taps ace Chris Tillman for the start this afternoon. The 16-game winner is making his second start since returning from the DL after hitting the shelf with shoulder bursitis for two weeks. His time off appears to have worked. He outdueled the Tigers’ Justin Verlander in Detroit for a 3-1 win in his last outing on Sunday.

Tillman is 8-9 with a 4.09 ERA in 24 career starts versus the Rays. Tampa’s current roster is batting .257 against. Third baseman Evan Longoria is 17-for-60 (.283) lifetime. Eleven of his hits has gone for extra-bases, including seven home runs.

The Orioles are 44-19 all-time when Tillman commands the hill at Camden Yards as home chalk. Going off at average odds of -138, backers have netted nearly 20 percent profit behind the right-hander.

The UNDER is 19-5-1 in games played at Camden Yards since the All-Star break, largely due to Baltimore’s bats cooling off. It is averaging 4.3 runs since but knocked in 5.2 at home prior to festivities.


Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles  
Andriese won for the first time since June in his last outing on Sept. 11, a 4-2 road victory over the Yankees. He allowed one earned run on six hits in five innings of work, snapping a seven-game winning streak by New York. We expect him to carry some confidence into this start.Tillman shook off a little rust in his last start, and will likely be firing on all cylinders in this matchup. The Orioles have won his last five outings against Tampa. Still, we’re looking for Andriese to carry over some momentum and make this competitive through the first half. At plus-odds, a play on the Rays through the first five innings presents value. Rays F5 +135 is the free MLB pick.


Free MLB Pick: Rays F5 +122
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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