Rangers-Indians & Rockies-Giants are Tuesday MLB Picks of the Day

MLB Picks of the Day thumbnail

Mark Lathrop

Tuesday, June 27, 2017 12:20 PM GMT

As thunderstorms roll through our MLB handicapper's hometown, he looks to catch lightning in a bottle twice by fading Tyson Ross of Texas once again. A hot team against a below average pitcher also presents multiple wagering opportunities in San Francisco.

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Mark Lathrop, predicted with accuracy Tyson Ross’s demise last week, as the right-hander tries to learn how to pitch with greatly reduced velocity. Ross takes the mound again on the road Tuesday against the Cleveland Indians.

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Indians

Tyson Ross got tagged for seven earned runs last week at home against Toronto, as the right-hander continues to push back from Thoracic Outlet Syndrome. His average fastball velocity came up from 89 to 91 in that start, still significantly below his 94 mph average in 2015. Ross hasn’t pitched enough innings to get any splits that mean anything, but I will go back to his first ‘successful’ start and consider that Ross was having trouble finding the zone with any of his pitches.

Mike Clevinger gets the start against the Rangers opposite of Ross, and the right-hander has had issues with control this season. His 4.71 BB/9 is well over the league average, although he has struck out righties at a very good 29% clip. Because walks have gotten his pitch count up, Clevinger has a hard time pitching deep into games. He hasn’t made it past the 5th inning in his last three starts. But really, this pick is about the possibility of Ross blowing up again. I’ll take a few runs from Clevinger as gravy and pick Over 4.5 runs first 5 innings with betting odds at -109 at Pinnacle as one of my MLB Picks of the Day.

 

 Free MLB Pick F5 Over 4.5 (-109)Best Line Offered at Pinnacle

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Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants

In this game, our MLB handicapper looks at a team with impressive offensive statistics going against a below average starter. Read on as he breaks down why we should fade the San Francisco Giants once again.

It was bound to happen. A terrible year has the San Francisco Giants at just 27-51 coming into Monday night’s series with Colorado. They turn the ball over to Matt Cain in the middle game of the series – a starter that hasn’t had an FIP under 5 since 2014. It sits at 5.16 coming into this game, and Cain now finds himself with a fastball that averages 89.2 mph. That doesn’t leave much room for error, and his 3.69 BB/9 indicates that he isn’t peppering the corners of the plate with great control either. Cain has given up 5 or more runs in 3 of his last 4 outings. The one outing he did not give up a ton of runs was on the road in Colorado, where he somehow only gave up one earned run after allowing 9 hits.

With Cain allowing a .315 batting average and putting up a 1.73 WHIP on the season, Colorado starter Jeff Hoffman won’t have to be perfect. Hoffman has put up a 2.86 FIP though and has done an excellent job with his 9.59 K/9 and 2.02 BB/9 rates – both above average for MLB starters. At just -122 on the Money Lines, Colorado presents excellent value here and I will take that as one of my MLB Picks of the Day. To fade Cain, I will also add Colorado on the team total over in the first 5 innings as another official selection for Tuesday night.

 

MLB Free Pick Colorado ML (-127) and F5 TT Over, Best Line Offered at 5DimesNo F5 TT Over listed at Time of Publication

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2017 MLB Record, 122-105-7, +6.68 Units, 2.65% ROI