Rangers +160 Over White Sox the Pick: Perception vs. Reality in Effect at Chicago

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, June 19, 2015 1:54 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 19, 2015 1:54 PM UTC

We are eager to share our MLB picks for Rangers vs. CWS as this matchup features your Big Dog Play of the Day in which our pitcher has strong historical numbers and the big favorite has struggled.

Texas Rangers (Lewis) vs. Chicago White Sox (Sale)  8:10 ET
The Texas Rangers fly from Los Angeles to Chicago for the first of a 3-game weekend set.  The Rangers just took 3 of 4 from the Dodgers, losing the game only last night in which they allowed the Dodgers to score a 1-0 victory on a balk.  Nonetheless, the Rangers remain clearly the superior team in this matchup.  Yet, with the strong linemaker pricing on tonight's starter, Sale, we get to take a HUGE Big Dog price with Lewis, who has an outstanding history against the Pale Hose. 

Even with Sale on the mound, the White Sox do not deserve this level of favoritism over anybody, let alone the Rangers.  The White Sox have a .635 OPS in batting (good for 29th in the League).  That ineptitude has been confirmed in the past couple of weeks.  CWS has scored 4 or less runs in 13/14 recent games.  The White Sox enter tonight's game on a 0-7 slide.  In the previous 5 games, Chicago has scored just 5 runs on 13 hits with a .141 BA, including 42 strikeouts.  Of course, that was against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have the best pitching in MLB.  Never easy to fade CWS ace, Sale.  The White Sox would be 20-34, if they had not gone 8-3 in Sale starts and it is never easy to fade a starter who is pitching at home with a 1.09 home WHIP.  Yet, the White Sox are so offensively pathetic, we must do exactly that.

The Texas Rangers are the surprise team in the American League.  The 8-16 start had the Rangers pegged for another bottom-of-the-barrel finish, exactly where they were predicted.  But, they have turned it around with outstanding batting and pitching.  In fact, the Rangers enter tonight on a 28-15 run, going 20-8 of late.  That run includes 14 quality starts by their rotation.  Lewis has been a part of that, allowing 3 runs in 7 IP in each of his previous 2 starts.  The real numbers that pop out for Lewis are a history in which Lewis has posted a record of 5-0 with a 1.24 ERA against the White Sox. 

This is a classic PERCEPTION/REALITY play as the line is based solely on White Sox starter, Sale.  As such, it must be termed our Big Dog Play of the Day.  With the strong history by Lewis matching the work of Sale and the Rangers clearly in better form with the bigger bats, this is one of the biggest value plays on the board.

MLB Picks: Take Texas Rangers +160 at The Greek

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