I’m going to be sharing my three top proposition bets for MLB starting pitcher wins this season. My selections regarding this topic are carefully crafted based solely on betting value.
My Favorite: Stephen Strasburg (+1200)
Strasburg will be a starting pitcher for a team (Washington National) that I truly believe can win 100-games or more this season. The Nationals will have a potent batting order, and also have quality hitters that can come off the bench. The big question mark regarding Strasburg will be his ability to stay healthy. My intuition tells me is that there’s a high probability of him going unscathed on the injury front in 2015. The Nationals have taken every precautionary measure to keep their young franchise pitcher from being in harm’s way, including shutting him down in September of 2013 during the heat of a playoff race. He started 34-games last season which was a career high, went 14-11, posted a stellar 3.14 ERA, and had nearly a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The 26-yeard old is ready for a breakout year in 2015, and with Max Scherzer now on the staff, it will take some pressure off the young right-hander.
Huge Betting Value: Corey Kluber (+1500)
Despite winning 18-games a season ago, and capturing the American League Cy Young award, Kluber still doesn’t get the type of respect he deserves from the national media in my opinion, nor by the MLB odds. I guess playing in a small market like Cleveland hurts him in that regard. When looking inside the numbers from his 2014 campaign, you can’t help to be more impressed beyond his win total. In 34-starts, he posted a superb 2.44 ERA, a stellar 1.10 WHIP, and had a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Indians arguably have improved upon a lineup that was vastly underrated a season ago. The 28-year old shouldn’t have issues with run support, and is primed to make a run at winning 20-games or more.
Live Long Shot: Matt Harvey (+4500)
After missing the entire 2014 season due to an elbow injury requiring Tommy John surgery, Matt Harvey has been nothing short of spectacular this spring. In five Grapefruit League starts, Harvey has posted an excellent 1.45 ERA, struck out 17, and has walked only one in 18 2/3 innings. Needless to say, he looks fully recovered from a health standpoint. In 26-starts in 2013, he went 9-5 with a brilliant 2.27 ERA, and an excellent 0.99 WHIP. This is certainly a high risk MLB pick proposition bet, but at these current odds it also comes with a high reward.