Profitable Friday Night MLB Totals Picks

Doug Upstone

Friday, August 18, 2017 4:08 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 18, 2017 4:08 PM UTC

Is Labor Day weekend really in two weeks, where did the summer go right? Well you know it is getting closer with the pennant races really heating up and those of us doing baseball totals grinding away.

As anyone who has ever done this for an extended period of time, the daily grind of studying the MLB odds is both a curse and a blessing, in part because it is every day, yet when our attention turns more to football, part of us still loves looking over those numbers and trying to beat the sportsbooks.

Last night if you followed along, we swept the board against those books and raised our record to 17-11 for MLB picks. Here is what I have for Friday.


Pitching Rules in Bean-Town

The New York Yankees offense looked more like it had been all season in sweeping their city rivals the Mets, averaging a hair over five runs a game. Boston's offense has also been like boiling water on the stove in scoring 6.1 runs a contest in their last seven. With the total listed at nine, we have a pair of left-handers starting, Jordan Montgomery (3.94 ERA) for New York and Drew Pomeranz (3.39) for Boston. Why I prefer the UNDER in this contest is because both offenses do not as well versus lefties, scoring about 10 percent less and cannot over the Red Sox are 17-7 UNDER at Fenway when the total is 9 or 9.5.

Free MLB Pick: Play UnderBest Line Offered: at Heritage

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K.C. Lumber is Hot, Their Starting Pitcher is Not

Remember the first few months of the season when largely the same Kansas City lineup that was less than two years removed from winning the World Series was barely scoring three runs a game? That is not the case anymore as the Royals are swinging to their potential and are at 7.1 RPG in their past seven trips to the yards. K.C. does not figures to score a vast amount of runs against Cleveland's Corey Kluber (2.71), however, his ERA is higher on the road at 3.69. Besides liking where the Royals offense is, I believe the Indians can bat around Ian Kennedy (4.80), especially at Kauffman Stadium, where he has 5.43 ERA. With the total at 8, I will embrace Kansas City being 13-4 OVER at home after batting .315 or better over a five- game span.

Free MLB Pick - Play OverBest Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Snakes and Twinkies in Low Scoring Affair

When you think of Arizona playing Minnesota, even ardent baseball fans cannot visualize an instance of these two teams on the same field ever. Of course it has happened and I can foresee the outcome falling below the sportsbooks post of 9. Zack Godley has been a consistent starter all season and is sporting a fine 2.95 ERA. Statistically, Ervin Santana is having one of his best seasons at 34 and his 3.28 ERA is well below his career-norm of 4.04. To further support this line of thinking, the D-Backs are 25-9 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 and Santana is 17-7 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or lower.

Free MLB Pick: Play UnderBest Line Offered: at Skybook

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