Profit From Taking Road Favorite Pirates As Your MLB Pick vs. Padres

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, April 19, 2016 5:08 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 19, 2016 5:08 PM UTC

Expert MLB handicapper writes a compelling betting article which includes a terrific 84.$% MLB wagering system. Let's take a look at his MLB pick for Tuesday's Pirates vs. Pades Game.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
The Padres and Pirates open a three game series at Petco Park on Tuesday. This will be the first meeting of the season between these National League clubs. They met seven times a season ago, and Pittsburgh won on five of those occasions. Four of those were at San Diego, and they resulted in going 3-0-1 over the total. Current MLB odds at Bookmaker have Pittsburgh as a -141 money line favorite, and the posted total is 7.0.


Starting Pitching Edge goes to Pirates
Veteran southpaw Francisco Liriano will be on the mound for Pittsburgh this evening. Liriano had an excellent 1.50 ERA and 0.75 WHIP during two starts versus San Diego a season ago. Liriano has made three career starts at Petco Park with all of them occurring since 2013, and he posted a superb 1.00 ERA during those outings.

San Diego will go with 25 year old right-hander Colin Rea for this series opener. Rea has a 4.60 ERA during eight starts and one relief appearance in his young career. This will be the first time he’s ever faced Pittsburgh. During two starts in 2016, Rea has compiled a lofty 5.23 ERA and 1.65 WHIP.


Silent Padres Bats at Petco
San Diego is just 1-5 at home so far, and has a brutal -4.6 run per game differential during those six outings. There’s no need for digging deeply in order to discover why they’ve struggled so badly at Petco Park. The Padres have averaged only 1.7 runs per game, and compiled a horrible .185 team batting average during their home games in 2016. Furthermore, San Diego has scored just 2.1 runs per game, and also possessed a poor .193 team batting average over its last seven overall.


Money Line Betting Angle
Pittsburgh enters today with a 7-6 (.538) record while San Diego comes in at 4-9 (.308). The Padres have lost five of their last previous six games. The combination of those results fits into an extremely profitable MLB wagering system, and that weighed heavily when making one of my Tuesday MLB picks.

Play against any money line home underdog of +125 or more which has lost four of its previous five games, and has a season win percentage of .380 or less, versus an opponent with a winning record. The road favorite in this exact scenario has gone 54-10 (84.4%) during the past five seasons. Those road favorites also had a massive +3.0 run per game differential in those 64 outings, and possessed an average money line price of -152.5. If you want to grab more MLB Picks, go ahead and check our choices for the day.

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Free MLB Pick: Pittsburgh -141
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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