Profit with MLB Picks on Rangers +143 vs. Mariners in Game 1

Charles Stark

Friday, April 17, 2015 11:29 AM GMT

Friday, Apr. 17, 2015 11:29 AM GMT

There is good betting value offered on the Money Line MLB odds trading today for Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners. Expect a pretty good pitching matchup between these two teams.

Pitching Matchup
Gallardo and Happ are both pretty solidified major league starters, and both with new teams.  After two outings Gallardo comes in with a 5.59 ERA and Happ with one game at 2.84.  I like the value on Gallardo in this spot as part of the underdog team in MLB odds tonight, in my opinion he is a better pitcher and neither team is doing much on the offensive end.  In his career Gallardo has a 3.71 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, he is a pretty good strike out pitcher that can pitch deep into ballgames.  Happ on his career has a 4.23 ERA and 1.38 WHIP, he is a decent starter to have for most teams.

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Balls in Play
In two of the last four years Gallardo was in the top 20 in the major leagues in strikeouts (ranked 16th and 8th).  In the last three games the Mariners are leading all teams in strikeouts per game and overall they are ranked 17th in the league in this category.  Texas is not that far off but they are better than the Seattle Mariners so far this year in runs per game and on base percentage.  Both teams are hitting very poorly though tied at hitting .210 on the season, but in the last three games the Rangers are hitting .242 compared to the Mariners at .229.

 

Value
I am sure most people will go into this game thinking Seattle is the easy pick because of pre-season predictions and MLB odds makers are backing that with them as a -160 favorite, but the value sides with Texas at +140.  Predictions are nice but that is all they are.  In reality you have a better pitcher in Gallardo on the mound and a team that is offensively a bit better so far this season in Texas.  I am placing my MLB Picks tonight taking the Rangers for the upset on the plus moneyline.

Free MLB Pick:  Rangers +143 at The Greek

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