Poor Jose Urena: No Pitcher Gets Worse Run Support

SBR Staff

Tuesday, May 15, 2018 12:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 15, 2018 12:24 PM UTC

The Miami Marlins aren’t very good regardless, but you might want to avoid betting them whenever Jose Urena is on the mound with the run support he gets.

You probably shouldn’t be backing the Miami Marlins to win too many MLB games as it is. Of course, new ownership – led by Yankees legend Derek Jeter -- basically stripped down the franchise and sold off its best parts for cheap prospects. The Marlins were given an Intertops total of just 64.5 wins entering the season, by far the fewest in the major leagues.

But you really, really shouldn’t be betting the Marlins when Opening Day starter Jose Urena is on the mound. Why? It’s nothing against the 26-year-old Dominican as he has good stuff and was even the team’s Opening Day starter, although that’s not saying much with that rotation.

No, you should steer clear of Urena most times out, or at least bet ‘under’ at Intertops in his outings, because he gets the fewest run support of any starter in the majors with at least five outings this year: a scant 2.33 runs per game. Urena is personally 0-6 with a 4.38 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and batters are hitting .258 off him. Not awful, but the Marlins have lost all nine of his starts. Urena’s -$900 money units total at Intertops on the season is the second-worst in the majors behind the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw -$975.

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"Through the first quarter of this season, Jose Ureña has received 2.33 runs per game from the Marlins’ offense, which would be the lowest figure among qualified starters since the Marlins franchise began play in 1993." https://t.co/zhFWrrcwGv

— Brett Clarkson (@BrettClarkson_) May 14, 2018
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Urena is scheduled to next pitch Friday in Atlanta, and it will be his second straight look at the Braves. On Sunday, he had a quality start of six innings and three runs allowed with just four hits vs. the Braves, but the punchless Marlins lost 4-3. All three runs came in the ninth as did three of Miami’s four hits. Justin Bour connected on a three-run, pinch-hit home run off Arodys Vizcaino but Miami couldn’t finish the comeback.

Urena has a 2.84 ERA over his past four outings but a big goose egg.

"He's thrown the ball well enough to be better than 0-6, that's for sure," Marlins manager Don Mattingly said. "He had the rough outing in the first one, he gave up some runs early. But after that, he's been in competitive games. He's given us chances to win. We just haven't been able to put up runs for him."

The Marlins have topped four runs just once in a Urena start: a 6-5 loss in Milwaukee on April 21. They haven’t scored more than three in any of his past four, including two shutouts. To no surprise, the Intertops total has gone ‘under’ in six of Urena’s nine starts.

Friday’s start in Atlanta will be Urena’s third on the road this season, and he hasn’t been as strong there with a 6.10 ERA in two outings (both no decisions) compared to a 3.95 ERA in seven home starts. A few Atlanta batters hit him well. Freddie Freeman is 6-fof-14 with a double, triple and homer. Ender Inciarte is 5-for-16 with a double, triple and homer himself. Nick Markakis is 6-for-18 with a double and six RBIs.

Urena is scheduled to be opposed by lefty Sean Newcomb (4-1, 2.51), who just threw six shutout innings in Miami on Sunday and hasn’t allowed a single run in his past three starts spanning 19 innings. So, yeah, the smart bet is probably ‘under’ Friday’s total at Intertops.

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