I've taken a look at the MLB player props, done some research, and I am ready to provide the betting public with a winning day going into the weekend with my MLB picks from Bovada.
How Many Strikeouts Will Clayton Kershaw Have?
Over 8 -140
Under 8 +110
The first thing that I sought out was a Clayton Kershaw prop as I think after an outstanding performance in his last start, the best pitcher in baseball is ready to turn around his season.
5-3 with a 3.36 ERA might be good for the average pitcher, but for Kershaw, it's subpar. In his last game, Kershaw allowed just 1 hit in 8 innings against the Cards while striking out 11 batters. In his last 5 starts, Kershaw has had 3 starts of 10 strikeouts or more. San Diego has a rather weak offense and I can see the likes of Justin Upton and Matt Kemp whiffing on multiple occasions.
MLB Pick- Over 8 -140
Total Hits, Runs, and RBI's For Matt Kemp
Over 1.5 -125
Under 1.5 -105
The total is low as Kemp has been a flatout disappointment for the Padres. Now, he must face his old team and the best pitcher in the league. Kemp is not a happy camper as he was beaned recently against Julio Teheran, but he did retaliate with a hit, run, and immediate stolen base. Normally, I would jump on the over, but Clayton Kershaw takes hitters off of their game and I can see Kemp being phased here.
MLB Pick- Under 1.5 -105
Total Strikeouts For Jesse Chavez
Over 5 +110
Under 5 -140
MLB odds makers aren't expecting much from Mr. Chavez, but this is a pitcher that can keep a team in check. Granted, facing Mike Trout and the Halos appears to be an unenviable task.I witnessed Chavez embarrass a good Yankees team two starts back but that was at home and he didn't overpower them with 6 strikeouts. The Angels do have players such as Trout and Pujols who do tend to strikeout. If Chavez were to perform poorly, this prop could go over and at a good price. I'm going to roll the dice and take the over. Make this a small bet.
MLB Pick- Over 5 +110
Will Ian Desmond Record a Hit?
Let's play math. An average hitter in the Major Leagues will get a hit every 1 out of 4 at bats while a great hitter get's a hit once out of every 3 at-bats. A player see's normally 4 plate appearances or more in a game. Therefore, the odds say yes. Desmond has been cold as of late, but did pick up a hit in his last game (1 at-bat). He's 1 for his last 9 at bats. This is a good time for a fade on that yes. Take no as your pick at +160. This is a risky pick, but not out of the question.
MLB Pick- No +160
Total Strikeouts For Tommy Milone
Over 3.5 -105
Under 3.5 +125
It appears that odds makers think that we'll see a lot of ground balls and flyballs from Milone. Milone has given the bettor absolutely no reason to take the over.
In his last 5 games, he's had 3 strikeouts or less and in his last game, he didn't record a single strikeout against the Red Sox. Pitchers can be fly ball pitchers and still be good. In Milone's case, he gives up more than 1 hit per inning and allows an equal amount of walks to strikeouts. He's rotten. Under all the way.
MLB Pick- Under 3.5 -125 - 2 STAR PLAY at Bovada