Play the 'Total' for Mets vs. Rockies

Steven Suarez

Sunday, May 4, 2014 4:32 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 4, 2014 4:32 PM UTC

The Rockies are on fire at the moment and have a chance to seal a four-game sweep over the Mets should they win this afternoon. Let's run over the MLB odds that are on offer and see if we can locate the best available value.

Odds Overview
Looking over the sportsbooks, we see Colorado favored in the range of -130 to -140, with New York there for the taking +120. With so many runs being scored through the first three games of this series, it's no shock to see a high total of 11 on the board.

New York Mets (Dillon Gee)
While New York's bats woke up with 10 runs last night, they were let down by some poor pitching once again and ended up losing 11-10. 

It's been a rough go of it for the starters and bullpen alike, with the Mets surrendering a total of 28 runs through the first three games.

They'll be hoping they can get at least one quality start at Coors Field out of Dillon Gee. Gee is 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP on the season and has looked exceptional over his three most recent outings.

In his past 21 innings of work, the right-hander has given up only 13 hits and two earned runs, which has lowered his ERA from 5.03 in the process. He's been top quality against the likes of Arizona, St. Louis and Miami and we'll see if he can keep it going against a red-hot Colorado offense.

Meanwhile, the Mets are getting most of their offenses from David Wright and Daniel Murphy, despite the fact they have only one homer between them, while Juan Lagares has been playing well enough to win the starting job in the outfield.

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Colorado Rockies (Jhoulys Chacin)
What a series it's been for the Rockies so far. They've been smashing the ball, leading to three straight wins. They're now 7-3 over their last 10.

It always helps to play in the thin air of Coors Field, but Colorado's offensive numbers are still mighty impressive. They're first in the majors in all four major categories (runs, batting average, on base percentage and slugging).

It hasn't even mattered that Michael Cuddyer has been injured. The Rockies are getting huge numbers out of Troy Tulowitzki (.400, 7 HR, 25 RBI), Charlie Blackmon (.372, 6 HR, 22 RBI), Justin Morneau (.339, 6 HR, 24 RBI), Nolan Arenado (.313, 5 HR, 20 RBI). We haven't even mentioned Carlos Gonzalez, who's still logged 6 HR and 20 RBI despite hitting only .243.

Jhoulys Chacin will be hoping he can get some more great support today in what will be his first official start of the season.

Chacin has been on the disabled list with a shoulder injury. In 2013 he went 14-10 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 31 total starts, and he'll be aiming to kick off 2014 with a positive appearance against the Mets.

MLB Pick
Call us crazy if you like, but we feel there's value in taking the UNDER with our MLB picks today.

The offenses have taken over in this series, but we see the two starters stepping up their game in the finale. Gee has enjoyed a fine start to his season and has looked especially strong over the last few weeks.

Chacin is much more of an unknown quantity at this point, but he was excellent in 2013 and we think he can have a relatively successful debut. Take the UNDER as one of your sports betting plays for Sunday.

Pick: UNDER 11


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