How will Pat Corbin do for Arizona in his 1st. starting assignment since 2013? Will the Rockies recent offensive doldrums continue? Read our informative betting preview article to get all the answers.
Rockies spending July 4th in the Desert
The Diamondbacks host the Rockies on Saturday at 10:10 PM ET. This will be the second of a four game series between these NL West division rivals. Arizona won each of the first two by scores of 4-3 last night and 8-1 on Thursday. They’ve now gone 7-3 this season versus Colorado, and that includes 4-1 at home.
The Rockies David Hale enters today in very shaky form during his last three starts. Hale posted a large 8.10 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, and allowed 5 home runs in 16 2/3 innings pitched during those three outings. During his seven starts in 2015, Hale has allowed 11 home runs or 1.6 per outing. That’s not good news any way you cut it, and especially so versus Arizona which is 11-2 this year versus starting pitchers allowing an average of 1.0 or more home runs per start. Speaking of which, in his only start versus Arizona this year, Hale allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits while walking 3 in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Southpaw Pat Corbin will make his first start of the season for Arizona today. In actuality, this will be Corbin’s first MLB start since 9/27/2013. He was 14-8 in 2013 with a solid 3.14 ERA, and was selected to the National League all star team. Corbin was a perfect 9-0 in his team starts during that 2013 season when the total was 8.5 to 10.0. He missed all last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in March of 2014.
Rockies Run Production Anemic in Recent Games
The Colorado Rockies have scored 3 runs or less in each of their previous six games. Colorado has gone a dismal 1-13 this season after scoring 4 runs or less in each of their previous three games. The Rockies have averaged a miniscule 2.3 runs per game and are hitting a horrible .189 as a team during their last seven. Colorado is also an awful 3-12 in 2015 when facing a southpaw starting pitcher.
Money Line Betting System
The Rockies are allowing 5.1 runs per game this season. Play against any National League money line road underdog of +100 (Colorado) or more during the month of July that allows 4.8 or more runs per game. Hypothetically, if you played on the home favorite in this exact scenario, you would be 52-9 (85.1%) since 2011 and that includes 4-0 this season.
Final Analysis and Money Management Tip
I very rarely like to lay this much a juice on the favorite. However, this is one of those exceptions to the rule, and the home team will be one of my MLB picks today. My money management advice is simple. If you normally wager to win $100 on the money line, then today I’m going to suggest just risking $100 on the favorite. Heritage provides us with the best price in that regard.
MLB Pick: Play Arizona -167 on the money line at Heritage.