Play Athletics RL Over Padres With Graveman on the Mound in Low-Scoring Series Finale

Darin Zank

Thursday, June 18, 2015 3:07 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 18, 2015 3:07 PM UTC

Oakland owns a four-game winning streak, while San Diego is saddles with a four-game losing streak. This handicapper believes both those runs will reach five Thursday.

Padres-A's Thursday Betting Odds
Most of Thursday's MLB betting market opened Oakland at around -140, but early action bumped that price as much as a quarter at some shops. As of this writing the best line we could find on the A's and Kendall Graveman was the -155 offered at Wagerweb, while 5Dimes was giving San Diego and Ian Kennedy +154.


The Situation
Oakland has taken the first three games of this four-game, two-city series, winning the first two games at Petco Park by scores of 9-1 and 6-5, then pounding the Padres Wednesday at 16-2. So the A's (29-39) have won four games in a row, while San Diego (32-36) has lost four straight.

All three games in this series have played OVER the totals.


Thursday's Starting Pitchers
Graveman (3-3, 4.22) is coming off two very nice outings in a row; first he held Boston to one run through seven innings, and last Saturday he held the Angels to one run through eight innings. Oakland lost both those games, but that wasn't his fault. On the season the A's, 10 games under .500 overall, are 5-4 in Graveman's starts.

This will be Graveman's first-ever start against San Diego, which could give him an edge on Padres hitters for the first couple of times through the lineup.

Kennedy (3-5, 5.84) is coming off one of his best outings of this season, after holding the Dodgers to one run through seven innings last Saturday, and over his last three starts he's held foes to six runs through 18 innings. Not coincidentally, San Diego has won his last three starts.

This will be Kennedy's first start against Oakland since 2011, when he was with Arizona.


Padres-A's Free Picks
We don't always put a lot of credence in streak betting, but in this spot we're believers. We're also gamblers, so we'll take a chance with the home team on the run line. Also, while A's home games are a lopsided 21-9 on the OVERS this season, that's a trend that should begin bending back toward normal.

MLB Picks: Oakland +136 on the run line at Pinnacle and UNDER 7.5 runs (-110) at 5Dimes.

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