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Atlanta Braves players

Joe Catalano

Thursday, September 22, 2016 5:40 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 22, 2016 5:40 PM UTC

Coming off of  6 straight wins that include the Atlanta Braves at odds of +280 and +180, we continue to ride the hot teams as the season draws to a close. Is there any more value out there? We shall see as we set you up with our MLB Picks of the Day for Thursday.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Not As Good As Their Record Indicates
We've faded the New York Mets (80-72) for their entire series versus the Atlanta Braves and it paid off huge. The reason this was profitable was because the Braves were a hot team and the Mets simply don't have a big-time lineup if you look from 1 to 9 in their batting order. New York has also had to deal with a ton of injuries and all of their stud pitchers are injured with the exception of Noah Syndergaard.

That said, New York gets a chance to win a game back as they're in a 3-way tie for the top wild-card spot in the NL with the Cardinals and Giants. They face a Philadelphia Phillies (69-83) team which has won 2 straight games, but starter, Adam Morgan (2-10, 5.57 ERA) hasn't had a ton of success for the Fightin Phils this season.

No Luck For Morgan?
Morgan has already faced the Mets this season and didn't fare well as he allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in 5 innings. Even though Morgan has a 5.84 ERA on the road and has allowed the opposition to hit .298 off of him, he's had a September to remember.

In his last 4 starts, Morgan has pitched 23 innings and allowed just 6 runs. Morgan's record is due in part to the lack of run support that he receives and the Phillies offense hasn't been providing Morgan with runs even during his hot streak. He's actually 1-2 in those 4 starts that I mentioned.

That said, the Phillies have scored 15 runs in their last 2 games and there could be value to be had in this game. The Phillies are coming off of an 8-3 win over Chris Sale and the White Sox and that should provide confidence and momentum when facing the slumping Mets. Tommy Joseph has been red hot as of late as he hit a home run last night and in his last 21 at-bats, is hitting .476 with 2 HR and 7 RBI. Philadelphia, just like Atlanta, could be a major threat to the Mets playoff hopes.


Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +158 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Better Late Than Never
This is the case for the Atlanta Braves (61-91), who are on a 5 game winning streak after destroying the Mets and at great betting value. I have been riding the Braves and will continue to do so until they lose a game as they always provide value due to a dismal season as they currently reside in the basement of the National League East Division.

The Miami Marlins are just 76-76 and thanks to a weak National League, the Fish are just 4 games behind the Mets, Cards, and Giants, for a wild card berth, therefore this game has meaning to Miami. That said, if they did indeed make the playoffs, it would be by default as they've had a disappointing season; especially superstar ,Giancarlo Stanton.

Freddie Freeman
One thing that the Atlanta Braves can 'hang their hats on" is the play of superstar Freddie Freeman. Along with Matt Kemp (31 HR, 101 RBI, .271 BA), these two players have formed a dynamic 1-2 punch with Freeman leading the way. Freeman is 10 for his last 20 at bats (.500) to go along with 1 HR and 5 RBI. For the season, Freeman is hitting .303 with 31 HR and 98 RBI. He also had the ability to draw free passes and the Marlins will have their hands full every time that this great steps to the plate.

I like Atlanta to keep the momentum going for my MLB pick and at favorable MLB odds.

Free MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves +130 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes , now offering a welcome bonus

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