Pitching Mismatches Will Give Marlins &Twins Edge For Today's Picks Of The Day

Kyle Gibson

Joe Catalano

Thursday, July 28, 2016 4:58 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 28, 2016 4:58 PM UTC

When looking at the slate, the quality of pitching is consistently high, we should see a lack of offense and a lot of low scoring games. Check it out with our coveted MLB Picks of the Day.

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins

Can the Marlins Wins a 3rd World Series?
The Miami Marlins have totally exceeded expectations this season at 55-46. This is a team that keeps getting better. This is also a franchise with a lot of luck on their side as they have won 2 World Series since their existence. Other teams like the Chicago Cubs haven't won a World Series in over 100 years. This is difficult to believe but true. While I'm not saying that the Marlins will win a World Series, they're creeping up on the competition, just 4 games behind the Washington Nationals in the National League East Division, have won 2 straight games, and 6 out of their last 10. Now, they send one of the best pitchers to the mound in Jose Fernandez (12-4 ,2.54 ERA) and this is a young player that doesn't lose at home. 

Jose Fernandez
St. Louis will have their work cut out for them as they face a pitcher in Fernandez with a career 34-13 record and an ERA of 2.44 ERA. If not for one really poor outing this season against Atlanta in which he allowed 6 runs on 9 hits in 5 2/3 innings, Fernandez's earned run average would look a lot better. He's projected to win 19 games and if guys like Giancarlo Stanton hit to their potential, Fernandez should be a 20 game winner as he's a dominant pitcher. He doesn't allow a lot of home runs (8) and has 175 strikeouts in just 120 2/3 innings.

A Ton Of Arsenal
Miami simply needs to scratch out a few runs and that should be possible as they have hitters such as Martin Prado (.324), Christian Yelich (10 HR, 55 RBI, .319 BA, .398 OBP%), and a whole host of others. You look at this Marlins lineup and they have 4 players hitting .297 or better and that's not including a part-time Ichiro Suzuki and Giancarlo Stanton, who has the potential to be one of the best players in baseball despite a very rough 2016. Despite having a tough season, Stanton has come on strong as of late. He's gotten his batting average up to .245 to go along with 22 HR and 59 RBI. Stanton is a player with a ton of power and always seems to get the timely hits or homers in his case.

Look for the Fish to continue their winning ways at steep odds as their balance of pitching and hitting is very favorable and this is a team on the rise.

Free MLB Pick: Miami Marlins -115
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins

Holding On to 1st Place
After losing 2 straight games to the Colorado Rockies, the Baltimore Orioles (58-42) get a very favorable matchup against a bottom feeder in the Minnesota Twins (37-63) as the O's maintain a 2 game lead in the AL East Division over Boston. That said, Baltimore can't count on their starting pitching as Ubaldo Jimenez (5-9, 7.38 ERA) has been atrocious this season and even worse on the road. To compound things, Kyle Gibson, who has also pitched poorly, is coming off of his best start of the season for the Twins. Can Gibson duplicate or come near his previous outing is the question?

A July To Remember
Ubaldo Jimenez has had a very rough July, allowing 11 earned runs on 11 hits while walking 5 and striking out 3 batters in just 5 2/3 innings. He hasn't pitched since July 8th. Baltimore can only hope that he's refreshed as this is basically a .500 pitcher for his career and is just 32 years old. Prospects don't look good as Jimenez has really gotten rocked for the entire season leading up until this point. Jimenez has allowed the opposition to hit .320 off of him. Don't expect much from Jimenez.

Kyle Gibson
While Kyle Gibson hasn't been Cy Young, he hasn't gotten a ton of run support from a weak hitting Twins ball club. For the season, Gibson is 3-6 with a 4.67 ERA. He's not an overpowering pitcher that will strike out the side, but in this case, he might be just good enough when facing Ubaldo Jimenez. In his last start, Gibson held the Boston Red Sox to 1 run on 2 hits in 8 innings pitched. I'm going to assume that this will provide him with some confidence coming into this game.

It's asking a lot from Minnesota as they have lost 3 straight games to a weak Atlanta Braves team, but players such as Eduardo Nunez (12 HR, 47 RBI, .300 BA, 26 SB) and Brain Dozier (17 HR, 51 RBI, 249 BA) really need to step up as a victory at home is possible for the pathetic Twins and at favorable odds.

Free MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins -103
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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