Pitching Mismatch Makes Angels A Solid MLB Pick vs. Outgunned Rangers

Joe Gavazzi

Saturday, April 30, 2016 4:14 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 30, 2016 4:14 PM UTC

After sweeping World Champions Royals, Los Angeles Angels get ready to strike Texas Rangers in this pitching mismatch that makes for a great MLB pick.

Los Angeles Angels (Santiago) vs. Texas Rangers (Lewis)
The LA Angels travel to Texas, after each team had a day off, following a high-profile series on their home fields. Texas won 2 of 3 from the Yankees on this field, while the Angels just swept the World Champion, KC Royals, whipping them by a combined score of 19-7, while playing their best baseball of the year. Earlier in the year, these two split a pair of games in Anaheim. Tonight, we take advantage of some strong series history, including a pitching mismatch to give us a Top Play winner with Santiago over Lewis.

The Numbers
Though the Angels’ .650 OPS is only 29th in the league, their recent outburst against strong KC pitching is cause for optimism. With Santiago authoring a .575 OPS and the Angels’ bullpen a .662 OPS, they have dominant edges in pitching over the Rangers’ Lewis with a .844 OPS and a Texas’ bullpen with a .829 OPS. Now, let’s turn to the specifics of the matchup! The Angels’ best player, Trout, is red hot and has a superb history against Texas. In the last 8 games, Trout is hitting .429. In his last 25 matchups vs. Texas, he has a .402 BA. He has also had great success against tonight’s starter Lewis as, in 30 at bats, he is hitting .400 with 4 HRs. This has led the Angels to a sterling 16-4 record on this field against the Rangers. The hitting of Trout will be backed by a strong pitching mismatch in favor of the LA Angels.  


Hector Santiago
Santiago is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA.  His last 2 outings have resulted in 13 IP of work, in which he has allowed just 2 runs with 17 Ks. A strong history against Texas has seen Santiago go 5-0 in 7 starts with a 2.23 ERA. This compares most favorably to the history of Lewis, who in 9 starts vs. the Angels, is 1-7 with a 9.78 ERA, including 0-5 in 7 starts from this mound, in which he has twirled an 11.01 ERA. His .844 OPS for the year strongly suggests that gets no better.  


With all factors pointing the way of the visitor tonight, we confidently step in laying a short road price with the visitor. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the LA Angels tonight.

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Free MLB Pick: Los Angeles Angels (-123)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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