Pitchers to Currently Fade or Follow

Doug Upstone

Monday, April 24, 2017 11:59 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 24, 2017 11:59 PM UTC

We are still in the first month of the MLB season, yet those betting baseball are already finding ways to profit picking for or against particular starting pitchers and their teams.

Is this a long-term winning solution against the MLB odds from sportsbooks? Probably not, but these pitchers certainly are worth watching both short and long term to create the best value for your selections.

 Chris Archer 2-0, 3.20 ERA, Rays (4-0 Team Record)

After a 9-19 season, Archer at 28 appears back on track as the ace of Tampa Bay. The big change is he's hitting his spots better and has yet to give up a home run after being tagged for 30 last year. If the bullpen holds up, Archer has real Play On potential for MLB picks.


Jeremy Hellickson 3-0, 1.88 ERA, Phillies (4-0)

After being mostly a fourth starter in Tampa Bay and essentially a bust in Arizona, Hellickson has been quite effective on what has been bad Philadelphia team. The biggest change for Hellickson is throwing more strikes low in the zone. He's never walked a lot of batters, but it seems when he has it has been mixed with couple hits and then a home run and big inning. Will the right-hander maintain .169 batting average allowed? No, but he can still be a major asset to improving Phillies squad.


Jose Quintana 0-4, 6.17 ERA, White Sox (0-4)

Maybe the biggest stunner of the early season. In March, there were a number of reports that it was not if but when, Quintana would be traded, and maybe this had a negative impact on the left-hander. Whatever the problem, this is not the same pitcher who has 3.47 lifetime ERA. Normally at better than 3-to-1 strikeouts to walks, Quintana has 20 punchouts and 12 walks thus far. Having given up an average of 17 homers in five seasons as a Chicago starter, he's already at five. Be careful here short term.


Jeff Samardzjia 0-4, 7.40 ERA, Giants (0-4)

As if losing Madison Bumgarner for two months was not bad enough, now that means Samardzjia will be needed to do more to help San Francisco. "Shark" is costing the Giants $19 million a year and has done nothing thus far. The only silver lining is more than a strikeout an inning for the righty, however, his pitches still catch too much of the plate, which is why he is permitting a .293 batting average and five over the fence already.

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