Pitchers to Bet on Today- Fister vs. Latos & Ryu vs. Peavy

Sunday, July 27, 2014 11:40 AM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 27, 2014 11:40 AM UTC

Will Jake Peavy be revitalized by yesterday's trade? Can the Cincinnati Reds offense somehow wake up against Doug Fister of the Nationals? Find out where the betting value lies, and what starting pitchers hold the keys to a pair of MLB money line winning wagers.


Washington Nationals (Fister) vs. Cincinnati Reds (Latos) 1:10 PM ET
The Nationals starter Doug Fister is 4-1 in his last 5-starts against the money line with a very good 2.67 ERA. Fister has been superb in day games this season going 4-1 against the money line with an excellent 0.93 WHIP, and an almost 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Nationals hurler has been money this season going 10-3 against the money line while netting MLB bettors 6.9 units of profit. He’s started one game in his career versus the Reds, and it came on May 20th of this year. In that outing the right-hander went 7.0 innings, allowed 2 earned runs, 6-hits, struck out 5, and walked just 1 in a 9-4 Nationals win.

The Reds starter Matt Latos has seen 5 of his 6 career starts versus Washington stay under the total while posting a stellar 2.34 ERA, including all 3 of his home starts versus the Nationals playing on the low side of the number. The Reds right-hander is in shining form over his last 5-starts posting a 2.91 ERA, an excellent 0.81 WHIP, and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Latos has been an ATM machine at home over the last 3-seasons as the Reds have gone 28-9 with him as the starter. Latos last start came this past Monday, and that’s significant from an MLB betting standpoint. The Cincinnati hurler has gone an extremely profitable 22-6 against the money line when pitching on 5 or 6-days rest over the past 3-seasons.

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MLB Betting Advantage
This seems to be a pretty even starting pitching matchup. Both of these guys have pitched well in each of their past 5-starts. However, the tiebreaker for me is the Reds anemic offense of late. Although Cincinnati was able to snap their 7-game losing streak yesterday, it came by way of a 1-0 win sparked by their ace Jonny Cueto who was lights out at home once again. The Reds have scored a grand total of 11-runs in their last 8-games (1.4 rpg). That’s not good news when facing a pitcher the caliber of Doug Fister. The slightest of edge in starting pitching goes to Fister over Latos.


Los Angeles Dodgers (Ryu) vs. San Francisco Giants (Peavy) 8:05 PM ET
The Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu has gone a perfect 3-0 against the money line in his last 3-starts at San Francisco, and has posted a superb 1.31 ERA in the process of doing so. The Dodgers southpaw has been a fairly profitable pitcher on the road this season going 7-3 versus the money line, and netting 4.0 units of MLB wagering profit. Ryu will be facing a Giants team that averages 4.0 runs per game in 2014. The Dodgers hurler has gone 19-6 against the moneyline the last 2-seasons when facing a National League opponent that averages 4.3 runs or less per game.

Jake Peavy will be making his first start in a Giants uniform. The veteran right-hander came over in a trade on Saturday from the Boston Red Sox for a pair of minor league prospects. The Giants are hoping the trade will reinvigorate the 33-year old hurler that’s 5-15 against the money line this season, including 0-9 in the last 9 all as a member of the Red Sox. Peavey has lost MLB bettors who’ve backed him this season a whopping 13.80 units, including 10.95 of those coming over his last 9-starts. Peavy is no stranger to facing the Dodgers after spending the majority of his career with the San Diego Padres. He’s gone 17-8 lifetime against the money versus the Dodgers with a sparkling 2.21 ERA, but has only faced them once since the 2009 campaign.

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MLB Betting Advantage
Ryu has pitched very well in his career versus the Dodgers, and his overall performance has been solid on the road in 2014. The Giants are hoping that Jake Peavy can replicate his plight from a season ago when he was a midseason trade acquisition by the Red Sox, and was an integral part of their world championship run. I will believe it when I see it. Until that occurs, and becomes reality as opposed to fantasy, the edge here goes to Ryu over Peavy.

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