Pirates vs. Giants Game 1 to be a Low-Scoring Affair

Ross Benjamin

Monday, July 28, 2014 12:16 PM GMT

Monday, Jul. 28, 2014 12:16 PM GMT

Our resident MLB handicapping expert Ross Benjamin has a strong lean toward the total in tonight’s game between the Pirates and the Giants. Make sure you read this revealing MLB betting article before doing your sports wagering today.

Battle of Legitimate Playoff Contenders
The Giants will host the Pirates in San Francisco tonight with the opening pitch slated for 10:15 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the Giants are a -165 money line home favorite and the posted total is 6.5. These teams met once this season during the first week of May in Pittsburgh with the Pirates taking 2 out of the 3-games in the series.

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Worley Attempting to Jump Start his Career
The Pirates will go with right-hander Vance Worley on the mound this evening. The 26-year old started the season at the Pirates AAA affiliate in Indianapolis, and made 7-starts before being promoted to the big club. He’s proceeded to account himself very well posting a stellar 2.79 ERA in 6-starts for the Pirates. Worley has made 3 career starts versus the Giants, and saw each of those games stay under the total, which he aided by compiling a superb 0.96 WHIP in those outings. He’s looking to regain the form he displayed during his rookie campaign in 2011 with the Phillies when he went 11-3.

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Bumgarner Struggling at Home
The Giants will counter with southpaw Madison Bumgarner for the opener of this 3-game series. He’s had a solid body of work this season going 13-9 against the money line with a solid 3.19 ERA. However, he’s inexplicably had problems at home in 2014 going 4-6 against the money, with a lofty 5.22 ERA, and a less than impressive 1.53 WHIP. Bumgarner does enter tonight in good form over his last 3-starts going 3-0 against the money, with a 2.21 ERA, and a dominating 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In 3 career starts versus the Pirates, the Giants lefty has a terrific 1.71 ERA, and all 3 of those outings stayed under the total.

 

Southpaws Silencing the Pirates
Heading into Sunday’s action the Pirates were hitting an unimposing .237 as a team against southpaw starters. They saw just 5 of those 18-games go over the total. As a matter of fact going into yesterday’s game at Colorado, Pittsburgh had gone over the total just once in their previous 8-games. Pittsburgh has really thrived at home this season going 34-21, but has gone a disappointing 20-28 on the road.

 

Coming Off the Sunday Night ESPN Game
The Giants will have the unenviable task of having to play tonight after participating in the nationally televised Sunday night game on ESPN. As we’ve seen with many teams that have been cast into the same role this year, it’s usually a recipe for a flat offensive performance. In addition, they will be coming off a 3-game series on the road versus their fiercest rival of them all, the Los Angeles Dodgers.

 

Final Analysis
I will go out on a limb here, and say that the general public will overwhelmingly being wagering on the over in this contest. After all, the number is extremely low at 6.5, and it’s not like either team is sending the ace of their staff out to the hill. That’s exactly why I’m going with the contrarian sports betting approach when making my MLB wager on this game. This one will be a surprisingly low scoring affair.

Free MLB Pick: Pirates/Giants to go under the total of 6.5

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