Picks of the Day for June 28th

Mark Lathrop

Wednesday, June 28, 2017 2:04 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 28, 2017 2:04 PM UTC

Our expert handicapper backs two favorable pitching matchups on Wednesday, as he scans the board for value and his MLB Picks of the Day. Get all the expert info for a profitable Wednesday. 

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2017 MLB Record, 122-109-7, +1.87 Units, 0.69% ROI

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels

The Angels match up with one of the best teams in baseball on Wednesday. Too bad that team resides in their home town.The Dodgers had won ten games in arrow coming into this home-and-home series with the Angels. Series sweeps of the Rides, Mets, and Rockies must have had their confidence sitting sky high. They promptly lost their 11th game in that stretch, but bounced back with a win last night. The Dodgers will turn to Hyun-Jin Ryu to keep their recent run going. Ryu has had shorter outings in his last three starts, never exceeding 5 innings pitched, yet has been favored in each one and won handily. Ryu’s HR/9 and HR/FB% have almost tripled since 2014; however, 12 of his 14 home runs given up on the year have been solo shots.

Alex Meyer gets the start for the Angels and he is a high risk, high reward type pitcher. He has decent stuff, but walks have been a serious issue for him and his BB/9 rate sits at 5.84. The walks shorten his appearances, which will lead to bullpen usage early for the Angels. That isn’t the worst thing for them, as they have a team bullpen FIP of 3.42. In the end though, I will take a left-handed starter and the Dodgers momentum over Meyers with the Dodgers moneyline at a reasonable -117 at Heritage.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -117Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Indians

The Rangers come off of a surprising win against the Indians last night, and our MLB handicapper likes the chances of a repeat performance with Yu Darvish on the mound.

Yu Darvish gets the start in this game for the Rangers five days removed from a dominating performance at Yankee Stadium. There he twirled 7 innings of shutout baseball while striking out 10 batters and walking none. Darvish has good splits to both sides of the plate and allows just a .208 BAA to lefties and .188 BAA against righties on the season. No matter what a manager does, there will be some holes in his lineup against Darvish.

Trevor Bauer will search for his positive FIP regression to come into play, as his ERA of 5.53 indicates he has been unlucky against an FIP of 4.11. That has started to occur in June where he has put up a 4.44 ERA, but his 20/12 K/BB rate this month continues to be problematic. Bauer has been struggling against right handers this year, allowing a .275 batting average over 40.0 innings pitched. I’ll take Yu Darvish in this game to continue the momentum from his last game; with the benefit of road moneyline value of +109 at Pinnacle as one of my MLB Picks of the Day.

Free MLB Pick: Texas Rangers +109 Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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