Picks of the Day for August 18th

Mark Lathrop

Friday, August 18, 2017 1:01 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 18, 2017 1:01 PM UTC

Mark Lathrop looks to get the party started on Friday night with two totals winners on the MLB betting card. His picks include a rare Under call in Colorado, which have treated him well in 2017.

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2017 MLB Record, 168-151-9, +5.05 Units (1 Pending)

Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals

Last night our MLB handicapper dialed in on a pitcher that was doing horribly to take a successful full game Over call. In this instance, he’ll only take one side to take us to the promised land.

The Royal’s Ian Kennedy is in a terrible stretch of games right now, and things aren’t lining up for them to improve on Friday night against the Cleveland Indians. All splits are against him, yet because he is pitching against Corey Kluber of the Indians the total on this game has opened at 8 runs. This should result in a team total for Cleveland to open around 4.5 runs for the full game.

This game is at home, which is actually a detriment to Kennedy as he carries a 5.36 FIP in Kauffman Stadium. He allows more home runs at home as well as walks more batters. His recent results also tell of a pitcher sputtering to the end of the season. In August, Kennedy has put up a .318 overall BAA, .600 SLG against, 7.16 ERA, and 5.28 FIP. Most shockingly is that his line drive rate is at its worse point in his season, and at 25% we can assume that he is getting hit hard quite often. With the Royals bullpen also being shaky of late I’ll take Cleveland on their team total Over as one of my Friday MLB Picks of the Day.

Free MLB Pick: Cleveland Team Total OverBest Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies

It’s few and far between, but our MLB handicapper has picked off more than one situation where you can take advantage of an inflated total in Colorado. We have another instance on Friday night!

The Colorado Rockies’ starting pitcher, German Marquez, is very good, but especially solid at home. Marquez has not allowed more than 3 runs in a start at home since May 5th – a span of seven starts. Even with his first two starts that didn’t go well, Marquez holds a 4.26 FIP at home. That is decidedly average, but we are looking at a total of 12 in this game, so average will get the job done here in spades. He is 7-13 O-U on the year so far.

Matt Garza will start this game for the Brewers, where he will look to improve on his away FIP of 4.61. He’s struggled with his command of late and carries a 5.65 BB/9 in the month of August. With Garza’s long history of success and this being his 4th start since missing time in late July, I’ll look for him to regress to average here. And again, average should get it done with the total sitting at 12. I’ll take the Under at Coors Field on Friday night as one of my MLB selections.

Free MLB Pick: Under 12Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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