Picks Of The Day, April 4th

MLB Picks Of The Day

Mark Lathrop

Tuesday, April 4, 2017 1:43 PM GMT

Ah, finally watched some baseball and I must say the new intentional walk rule was long overdue. Here we have two Japanese pitchers that could be in trouble if they can’t adjust to the new enforcement of the bottom of the strike zone.

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2017 MLB Record, 1-3, -2.30 Units,

2016 MLB Record, 55-40-2, +12.00 Units, 10.22% ROI

 

Mariners vs Astros

While taking a step back in 2016 with his ERA, Hisashi Iwakuma still won 16 games for the Mariners last season. This is a prime spot to fade him along with his fading velocity.

Seattle continues their opening road trip in Houston on Tuesday night, with Hisashi Iwakuma matching up against Lance McCullers of the Astros. Iwakuma has started to shy away from his patented splitter, which is causing him some problems. The 36-year old righty will also be hurt by the new emphasis by home plate umpires to raise the strike zone a bit. This will take away some of the real estate that he naturally occupies so often when employing his best pitch,

McCullers has electric stuff and is an ace if healthy. The former first rounder is still pitching on the cheap for Houston, but will get a payday after this season. His fastball sits in the mid-90’s, which he pairs with a devastating curve that generates a copious amount of whiffs. McCullers only pitched 81 innings last year, but that was enough to pick up 2.1 WAR while posting a 3.22 ERA. Unfortunately for the Mariners in this game, these starting pitchers are trending in opposite directions. I’ll lay a bit of juice to take the home team here, with a pick on Houston at -130 on the moneyline at 5Dimes.  

Free MLB Pick: Houston -130 MLBest Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Padres vs Dodgers

After getting embarrassed by the Dodgers in their season opener, the Padres turn to Clayton Richard to stop the early bleeding. With his repertoire, the Padres just might have a chance to keep it close.

After the Dodgers blasted home runs all over the place in the season opener against the Padres, San Diego must be eager to turn the ball over to Clayton Richard. Richard is a ground ball inducing specialist, picking up the 4th best ground ball rate in the MLB last year. Getting the ball on the ground and in play is step one, then we really are talking about hitting them where they ain’t luck for the Dodgers.

Likewise, the Dodgers start Kenta Maeda in this game and he is known for controlling the strike zone and not issuing walks. A 16-game winner last year, Maeda struck out 9.17 per nine innings and compiled a 3.48 ERA. His velocity isn’t overpowering though, and the Padres will be happy to face him after getting beat by Clayton Kershaw yesterday. This has all the markings of a much tighter game, which is why I like getting 1.5 runs on one side for almost even money. I’ll take San Diego at +1.5 runs (-115) at BetOnline as having value, and will add that as a Tuesday MLB pick.

Free MLB Pick: San Diego +1.5 Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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