Picks of the Day, April 23rd

MLB Picks Of The Day

Mark Lathrop

Sunday, April 23, 2017 4:07 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 23, 2017 4:07 PM UTC

It's been a month of hot and cold streaks for our Baseball handicapper, Mark Lathrop. On Sunday he looks for hot home teams to bring excellent value to his Sunday MLB betting card.

Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics

The Mariners road hitting woes look to continue on Sunday, and with a very hot pitcher on the mound for the Athletics we are looking to ride a streak of excellent starts as we take a small home field favorite.

Seattle’s scuffling offense puts them at risk of being swept by the Oakland Athletics on Sunday, as they have hit just .186 on the road on the year through Friday. Things didn’t improve on Saturday with the Mariners getting beat again 4-3 with lefty Ariel Miranda on the mound. Yovani Gallardo gets the start in this game and he is an imperfect 0-5 when starting against the Athletics with a 5.29 ERA. Not exactly the losing streak stopper that you would want on the mound against this particular team.

Andrew Triggs gets the start for Oakland and he has been excellent so far this season. He has a perfect 0.00 ERA and is 3-0 through three starts. What stands out to me for Triggs is his ability to limit home runs, as he has yet to give one up this season through 17.2 innings pitched. He has also limited his walks with just one free pass over his last two starts. With Triggs carrying momentum and Gallardo never beating the A’s, I’m taking the home team here at a reasonable moneyline price of -123 at 5Dimes as a Sunday MLB selection.

Free MLB Pick: Oakland -123 Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks excellent start has been powered by the 2nd best scoring offense in the league. They look to continue that run against a very good Dodgers pitcher in Brandon McCarthy on Sunday.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have picked up a 7-1 SU record at home through Friday after putting up a string of great offensive games. Arizona is putting up almost 8 runs per game at home so far and have hit for over .300 as a team at Chase Field. This certainly won’t continue all year, but that kind of momentum is hard to ignore. That is especially true when odds come in making that home team an underdog.

The reason for this line is Brandon McCarthy of the Dodgers, who has jumped out to a 2-0 start while accruing a 2.12 ERA. He is pitching a little bit over his head though, and the 33-year old is sure to regress a bit as the season progresses. McCarthy is stranding runners on base at about a 15% higher rate than his career average, so eventually the sequencing will even out and some of those runners will score. In the end though, I can’t fade the Diamondbacks as they get a run at home and ATS home dogs are cashing over 60% right now. The +1.5 run line at -140 at Pinnacle right now is not a steep price to pay to back the hot Diamondbacks on Sunday.

Free MLB Pick: Arizona +1.5 Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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