Picks of the Day - All-Star Game 2017

Mark Lathrop

Tuesday, July 11, 2017 4:41 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 11, 2017 4:41 PM UTC

Our MLB handicapper thoroughly enjoyed the Home Run Derby last night. Here we get his thoughts on one of the only ways to wager the 88th MLB All-Star Game.

The 88th MLB All-Star Game kicks off in Miami on Tuesday night - one of the only sports where the stars actually put in an effort to play the game correctly. Unlike hockey and football, we can expect the pitching matchups to hold. For a few innings at least, because then it will be up to the managers to get the relief pitchers in for a few batters apiece.

Looking at tonight’s starters we have a definite advantage on the National League side of the mound. Chris Sale starts for the American League and allows a .167 batting average, carries a 1.25 ERA, and has a 76/5 K/BB rate through the first time through the batting order. Awful! If he makes it through the first time through the order (doubtful with those numbers!) he will be faced with improving on his putrid .184 batting average allowed and 56/8 K/BB rate in the second time through the order. Starter for the National League, Max Scherzer, has given up a total of 19 hits in 43.2 innings going through the batting order the first time this year – good for a .128 batting average allowed. Compared to Sale’s 26 hits through 43.1 innings the first time through the order we are talking a difference between Clayton Kershaw and Jered Weaver here. That’s 36% more hits!

Ok, all kidding aside, these two pitchers are nails and it’s tough to tell the difference between them. That’s why they are starting the All-Star Game, after all. But I still like the National League early in this game because of their lineup, and Scherzer’s history against players in the American League lineup. For instance, Jose Altuve (.182 AVG), Jose Ramirez (.167), and Justin Smoak (0.77) have all struggled against Mad Max. That’s better information than what we have for Sale against the NL lineup, which is basically 4 batters with a few games getting a few hits each.

Looking at the MLB odds the National League is favored at -115 on the moneyline for the first 5 innings, with a total listed at 4.5 at 5Dimes. Each 5-inning team total is listed at 2 runs with significant juice. If you are to wager on this game I would only use the first 5-inning line to take out some of the variables of every bullpen and bench player getting action. For my MLB Pick of the Day on this game I will give a heavy lean to the National League Over 2 runs at -145 for the first 5 innings listed at 5Dimes. The National League has the better lineup and should be able to tag Sale with a few runs the second time through the order.

Free MLB Picks: Over 2 1h - Team TotalBest Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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