Pick Tigers Moneyline Over Royals in MLB Betting

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, September 10, 2014 1:50 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 10, 2014 1:50 PM UTC

Our MLB handicapping expert analyzes the final game of the mammoth AL Central series between the Royals/Tigers. Read his informative piece that’s culminated with a MLB free pick on one of these sides.

Grand Finale of a Huge Series in the AL central
The Tigers will host the Royals tonight at Comerica Park in Detroit with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds, the Tigers are a -115 money line home favorite, and the posted total is 7.5. The Tigers have gone 10-4 overall this year, and 18-8 at home against the Royals over the last 3-seasons.


The Tigers Own Shield of Late
The Royals starter James Shields has gone 0-4 against the money since 9/6/13 versus the Tigers, and posted a horrible 8.49 ERA in those outings. Besides the dismal ERA in those 4 losses versus Detroit, he allowed 38-hits in 23 1/3 innings of work, and had a large 1.80 WHIP. The good news for the Royals is that Shields has gone 13-4 against the money on the road this season, and that includes 4-0 in the last 4 away tilts with an excellent 1.53 ERA.


Porcello has the Royals Number
The Tigers Rick Porcello has gone 8-1 against the money in his last 9-starts versus the Royals with a solid 3.46 ERA. The concern for the Tigers pertaining to Porcello is his recent form. In his last 3-starts, he posted a lofty 5.09 ERA, and unimpressive 1.81 WHIP. Porcello has allowed 9-hits or more in 4 of his last 5-starts.


It’s been Money on the Road for the Royals
Heading into last night’s game the Royals owned a stellar 41-31 road record in 2014, and pertaining to the MLB money line they’ve earned +11.30 units in those games. Kansas City is 1st in all of baseball with 133 stolen bases, 4th in hitting with a .261 team batting average, and 9th overall in pitching with a team ERA of 3.52. Their one glaring weakness is a lack of power. The Royals are dead last in baseball with just 89 home runs on the season.


Tigers Received the Memo
Someone must deliver the memo to the Tigers, letting them know we’re in September, and there are just 17-games left to play. The Tigers have been a classic underachiever this season, yet they’ve an opportunity to atone for the frustrations bestowed upon their fan base with a late season surge, and a deep postseason run. They entered last night’s game just 1.0 game behind the Royals for the AL Central lead, and trailed the Mariners by a ½ game for the final wild card position in the American League. Despite having a disappointing record by their standards, this still remains a potent offensive lineup. Detroit is the best hitting team in baseball with a .277 team average, 2nd averaging 4.7 runs per game, and 9th in home runs with 137.


Final Analysis
After tonight these teams will meet for the last time in Kansas City for a 3-game weekend series beginning on Friday 9/19. The Royals begin a 10-game in 11-day home stand on Thursday, and then they conclude the regular season with 7-games on the road. At the conclusion of this series the Tigers will have 10-games left at home, and 6 on the road. The pressure will be on the Tigers from here on out. After all, they’re supposed to be in the postseason with their star laden lineup. I look for them to pounce on James Shields once again tonight, and for Rick Porcello to continue his winning ways over the Royals.

MLB Pick: Tigers -115 over the Royals

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