Pick Royals vs. Tigers to go 'Over' MLB odds

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, September 9, 2014 1:59 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 9, 2014 1:59 PM GMT

The Detroit Tigers perform at their best offensively when facing southpaw starters at Comerica Park, which will lead to a high-scoring affair against the Kansas City Royals Tuesday.

Holding On
Kansas City still own a one-game lead in the American League Central standings, but it suffered a 9-5 setback to Detroit as +117 road underdogs Monday, while going OVER the betting total for just the second time in eight contests.

The Royals did manage to score 10 runs the last time they faced tonight’s opposing starter at this ballpark, which can’t be ignored when looking over the MLB betting odds, but they’ve compiled a mediocre 30-30 record against division opponents.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is 5-14 as underdogs of +125 to +175 when playing away from Kauffman Stadium.

 

Scoring Some Runs
Detroit is averaging 5.80 runs in capturing six of its last 10 games, while it has produced a .309 batting average against left-handed starters overall when playing in front of its fan base.

Tigers second baseman Ian Kinsler figures to ignite the offense in this matchup, as he’s 17 for 53 in his career with two home runs and six doubles when facing the Royals scheduled starter.

MLB handicappers will find that the squad is a dominating 28-13 in their last 41 home games versus southpaws, while the OVER is on a 40-19-4 run in that situation.

 

Vargas
Royals starting pitcher Jason Vargas (11-7, 3.14 ERA) snapped a personal two-game losing streak in picking up a 4-1 home victory over the Texas Rangers last time out, as he scattered six hits over 6.2 scoreless innings.

The left-hander owns the AL’s third-best road ERA at 2.12—behind only Felix Hernandez and Garrett Richards in that category.

In eight lifetime efforts versus the Tigers, Vargas has compiled a 3-2 record and 4.66 ERA.

 

Scherzer
Tigers starting pitcher Max Scherzer (15-5, 3.25 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 11-4 road win over the Cleveland Indians last time out, as he allowed three runs (two earned) and four hits over six frames.

The right-hander is 9-1 with a 2.77 ERA in 12 home outings, with opposing hitters batting .214 against him (.249 on the road).

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB betting picks, as the OVER is 10-4 in the Tigers’ last 14 games as home favorites of -151 to -200.

MLB Pick:  Over 7.5 at 5Dimes

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