Pick Royals Runline Over Twins as 82% Trend Cant be Ignored

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, July 2, 2015 12:53 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 2, 2015 12:53 PM UTC

For tonight's Twins vs Royals, it's beginning to look like a bounce back blowout will happen. What will be our MLB pick this time around? Find out here!

Minnesota Twins (Gibson) vs. KC Royals (Young)  8:10 ET
The Minnesota Twins visit the KC Royals for the beginning of a 4-game weekend set at Kauffman Stadium.  The game features a matchup of a 41-37 Twins, who are fading fast (9-15) as pointed out by our “OPS Sell” signal of one month ago. The home standing Royals (22-13) return after a week long road trip, in which they swept Oakland and were then in turn swept by Houston.  I am predicting a bounce back blowout with the best run line team in all of MLB.

In early June, the Twins were on a 26-12 run catching every break possible to ascend to 32-22. Not bad for a perennial loser, who had begun the season 6-10.  Now, the chickens have come home to roost, as the Twins’ 9-15 recent record are far more in line with their bottom third of the league OPS numbers in both pitching and batting.  Credit to today’s starter, Gibson, who has a decent 3.30 ERA. But, in 3 starts vs. the Royals this season, he is 1-2 with a 4.08 ERA.  He will need to do far better than that, if the 16-22 road poor Twins are to stay competitive tonight.

The strong fundamentals of the Royals result in a team effort that is better than its individual parts (All-Star voting notwithstanding).  They are a great example of the effectiveness of small ball which has yielded a .600 record, despite only 55 homeruns. It has translated into a recent 5-1 series record against the Twins, in which they have outscored Minnesota 25-12.  After losing the first 2 games to Houston this week, the Royals led 3-0 last night.  The eventual 6-5 defeat will have them well focused as they return home against a team they have dominated.  Today’s starter, Young, pitched a return to form game his last time out, allowing just 1 earned run in 6 IP of a 3-2 Oakland win. On June 9th, Young worked 6 1/3 IP vs. Minnesota.  He allowed no runs and only 1 hit in a 2-0 KC victory. The Royals have won 7 of his 10 starts, in which he has a 2.97 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.

Run line players take note before you place your MLB picks, 27 of 37 Minnesota losses have been by 2 or more runs, while an MLB best 36 of 44 (82%) Royals’ victories have come by 2 or more runs, including 18/22 (82%) on this field.

MLB Pick: Take KC Royals -1 ½ R/+150 at BetOnline

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