Pick Rays -123 to Top Yankees in Tuesday's Matchup

Willie Bee

Tuesday, September 15, 2015 12:47 PM GMT

The Yankees rallied for a big win on Monday, and they'll look for another Tuesday in Tampa Bay where the MLB odds have yet to be released for the matchup.

Talk about picking yourself up off the mat with your season possibly on the line. Down to their last out and with no offense to show all evening, the New York Yankees rallied to beat the Tampa Bay Rays in Monday's series opener, 4-1.

New York now takes aim at a second win to begin this key road trip when the clubs take the field tonight (7:10 PM ET) for Game 2 of the set. Adam Warren gets the nod to start the game from Yankees skipper Joe Girardi while Jake Odorizzi takes the hill for the Rays. Mystery behind who would pitch for New York kept this game off the overnights, so bettors will have to watch SBR's live MLB odds later this morning to catch the numbers.

The Rays had won the previous three season series from the Yankees, but that streak ends this year with New York holding an 11-6 lead in 2015. The Bronx Bombers have won four of the five sets so far in 2015, taking all three played in New York by 2-1 margins. New York also started the season by winning the first four games played in St. Pete before the Rays won three straight at home in mid-May. Monday's 'under' leaves the MLB odds 6-10-1 O/U overall this season, 2-4-1 at Tropicana Field.

 

New York 9-5 When Warren Starts A Game
After dropping three of four at home over the weekend to the Blue Jays, New York (79-64, +1.5 units) needed the win Monday in the worst of ways. This stop in Tampa is followed by a weekend set at Citi Field against the Mets with three in Toronto next week, and the Yankees will need to take both of the first two series to hang with the Blue Jays.

Warren returns to the New York rotation for the first time since late-June, his last 25 appearances coming out of the bullpen. The former Tar Heel is essentially making this start in place of Nathan Eovaldi (elbow) and due to the fact the Yanks had to play  twinbill against Toronto last Friday. How many more starts Warren is asked to make after this is anyone's guess, but he did a decent job in the role earlier with the Yankees winning nine of his 14 assignments. New York split his two road efforts against the Rays, Warren allowing seven runs in 11 combined frames on this mound.

Odorizzi deserves better than the 7-8 record he owns, and Tampa Bay (69-74, -8.5 units) certainly should have won more than 11 of his 24 starts considering the effort. Fifteen have been quality starts, including three of the last five though the Rays found a way to lose four of the games. The Illinois native owns a 2.61 ERA at home, more than a run lower than his road ERA, the Rays going 5-5 in those contests. All three starts against the Yankees have ended in defeat, Odorizzi's ERA at 5.68 and New York taking him deep three times less than two weeks ago in the Bronx.

 

Umpire Notes, Final Thoughts & A Free Pick
Ron Kulpa has the task of calling balls and strikes in tonight's matchup, his first appearance under the mask at Tropicana Field this year. The St. Louis native is sitting 12-14-1 O/U/P on totals this season, but the MLB odds have been swinging to the 'under' recently with three of his last four plate assignments never making it to the scoreboard mark. Home favorites, should the moneyline come out that way on Tampa Bay, are 15-7 when Kulpa has the plate, the Rays splitting his last four appearances here.

Under the tarp at The Trop, we don't have to worry about weather interfering with the game, but the Yankees do need to worry about some of the bad luck they've had in this building in recent years. Warren isn't likely to go more than 4-5 innings, and I'm leaning towards Odorizzi and Tampa Bay for my free MLB picks.

My pick: Rays -123 at BetOnline
Season: 82-78-4 (+4.50)