Pick Peralta & Brewers as Home Underdogs in MLB Odds vs. Cards

Jeff Grant

Thursday, September 4, 2014 1:32 PM GMT

Thursday, Sep. 4, 2014 1:32 PM GMT

The Milwaukee Brewers are currently in a downward spiral, but they’ve got the perfect guy on the mound to get their season back on track against the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday night.

Taking Control
St. Louis owns a three-game lead in the NL Central standings over Milwaukee heading into this series, which is important to consider when looking at the MLB odds, as the club hits the road after a 5-2 homestand.

The Cardinals own the best September record in the Majors since 2011 at 56-28, while their 36-23 mark versus division foes is the best mark of its kind during the 2014 campaign.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise has produced a 33-34 record as underdogs of +100 to +125 when playing away from Busch Stadium.

 

Biggest Game of the Year
Milwaukee has lost a season-high eight games in a row, as it returns home after a 6-2 setback to the Chicago Cubs as -117 favorites, while going UNDER the betting total for the fifth time in eight opportunities.

The Brewers will likely play their second consecutive contest without outfielder Ryan Braun, which can’t be ignored when looking over the MLB betting lines, as he’ll likely be on paternity leave with his wife going into labor last night.

MLB handicappers will find that the squad is 13-10 with a money line of -100 to -125 at Miller Park, with the UNDER going 13-9-1 in that situation.

 

Wacha
Cardinals starting pitcher Michael Wacha (5-5, 2.79 ERA) is expected to be limited to 50-60 pitches in his first trip back to a professional mound since June 17, as he threw 34 pitches in two innings at Double-A Springfield Sunday.

The right-hander is 0-5 with a 3.40 ERA in seven road appearances, with hitters batting .222 against him (.222 at home).

Wacha was 2-1 with a 1.72 ERA in five September starts in 2013, as he looks to improve upon his 5-1 record and 2.47 ERA versus division opponents in his career.

 

Peralta
Brewers starting pitcher Wily Peralta (15-9, 3.82 ERA) has been handed back-to-back losses by the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates—surrendering a combined 14 runs (13 earned) and 16 hits in eight innings of work.

The right-hander is 8-5 with a 4.03 ERA in 14 home appearances, but he’s served up 14 home runs in 87 combined frames.

Peralta has produced a 4-0 record and 2.16 ERA in his last four efforts in this rivalry.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Brewers as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve captured seven of Peralta’s last eight home starts versus teams with a winning record.
Free MLB Pick:  Take the Milwaukee Brewers at Bovada

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