Pick the Padres in Game 2 of this Series Against the Dodgers

Darin Zank

Wednesday, August 20, 2014 1:42 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 20, 2014 1:42 PM UTC

LA took Game 1 of this series Tuesday night 8-6, ending a three-game losing streak, putting to waste our free MLB pick on this series opener. What have we got cooked up for Wednesday's Game 2 (10:10 pm ET, ESPN)?

Wednesday's Betting Odds
In the early betting action the best price we could find on LA with Roberto Hernandez was the -147 offered at BetOnline, while San Diego and Eric Stults could be found at +133 at 5Dimes. And the total on Wednesday's game was proffered at 7.5 runs.

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Tuesday Re-Hash
San Diego grabbed an early 3-0 lead, but starter Ian Kennedy couldn't hold it, giving up five earned runs through five innings. After a very cold series against Milwaukee LA's bats woke up and rapped out nine hits, five for extra bases. Carl Crawford led the way, posting a 3-3-3-3 box score, with a homer.

The Padres scored once in the ninth and put the tying runs on base, but Abraham Almonte got caught rounding third base too far and was nailed (in a very close play) for the final out of the game.

We backed San Diego with our free MLB pick on Tuesday's contest, but while Padres bats poked out 14 hits of their own, the pitching had a bad night.

LA has now taken eight of 11 games in this season series.

Also, the Dodgers still haven't lost four games in a row this year.


Wednesday's Starters
Hernandez (7-8, 3.72) is 10/22 on quality starts this season, but four for his last four, and 2/2 since joining the Dodgers in that trade with Philly. Last time out he held Atlanta to one run and three hits through six innings, although it took him 118 pitches to get 18 outs. And over his last four starts he's allowed just five runs through 27 innings. 

On the season the nine-year vet has allowed fewer hits, 114, than innings pitched, 133, but posted a very mediocre K/BB ratio of 85/59. The Dodgers have split the two games Hernandez has started for them.

Hernandez, pitching for Tampa, started once against the Padres last year, throwing six innings, giving up two runs and five hits, in a 4-2 Rays victory.

Stults (5-13, 4.64) is only 8/24 on quality starts, but three for his last three. Most recently he held the Cardinals to two runs through seven innings, and over his last three starts he's given up just three ER through 19 2/3 innings.

For the season the former Dodger has allowed 145 hits in 130 innings, walked 33 and struck out 81. San Diego is 9-15 in games Stults has started, with the totals tilting toward the 'unders' by a 15-9 margin.

Since the beginning of last season Stults has started five times against LA, allowing 15 ER and 37 hits through 30 1/3 innings; the Padres have won just one of those five games.


Free Pick for Wednesday
We missed with San Diego Tuesday, but the value on today's line still lies with the Padres. So we'll take the Pads for our free MLB pick for Wednesday.

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